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It didn't take long. Over the last several years, we have discussed the risk of excessive monetary policy inflating a bubble in a variety of assets from debt, to real estate, to stocks. In March, it appeared as if the bubble had finally popped. However, the Fed's quick response and massive mon...
The lack of issuance and supply over the last almost year or so, that's what makes the TIC data so fascinating. And relevant, if for other reasons, too. CLO issuance, according to a bunch of sources, peaked back last June. Remember that whole "recession scare" with the yield curve last summer?...
Can we even attempt a reasonable discussion? Someone's got this wrong. June 12 - Reuters (Judy Hua, Cate Cadell, Winni Zhou and Andrew Galbraith): "A Beijing district put itself on a 'wartime' footing and the capital banned tourism and sports events on Saturday after a cluster of novel coro...
Editor's note: Originally published at tsi-blog.com on June 17, 2020. [This blog post is an excerpt from a recent TSI commentary] The year-over-year rate of growth in US True Money Supply ((TMS)), a.k.a. the US monetary inflation rate, has continued its journey "to da moon." Based on...
Market Correction As I wrote previously , the break above the 200-dma had changed the complexion of the market. "If the markets can break above the 200-dma, and maintain that level, it would suggest the bull market is back in play. " However, in our Tuesday follow up, we disc...
On Wednesday, Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated he is considering "yield curve control." Previously, in the 1940s, when the Federal Reserve controlled the yield curve, it created deeply negative real interest rates. If repeated today, this would cause the gold price to sky-rocket. Due to the cu...
In its earliest years, the Discount Window wasn't something to be avoided at all costs, it was nearly the whole point. In order to supply largely seasonal liquidity, the word "discount" meant banks could show up at one of the local 12 Fed branches and post collateral for an increase in their r...
By Kevin Flanagan, Head of Fixed Income Strategy Those of you outside Southern California may not be familiar with the term "June Gloom." It describes a late spring phenomenon where the marine layer brings in cool, cloudy weather in the morning, but the sun peeks through later in the after...
While the silver price has yet to experience the significant move that many like myself are still fully expecting, that doesn't mean the developments are not happening below the surface. Fortunately, I was invited onto Jean-Claude's Beyond Mystic channel to talk about what's going on, how th...
My brief exchange with Markus Brunnermeier at the end of a COVID-19 talk attracted some attention, and merits a more detailed intervention. Gavin Davies at FT made some comments (more later) as did the Economist . My proposal to fund the US with perpetuities comes from a paper, here . ...
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2024-06-22 15:42:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-12 02:10:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-02 07:38:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...