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2024-05-15 13:28:47 ET Summary CPI and Core CPI rose as expected, indicating trends consistent with high inflation rates. Retail sales were disappointing and stagnant, suggesting a potential stagflation-like environment. The economy may be experiencing a stagnating or stagflat...
2024-05-15 13:25:00 ET Summary In April 2024, fourteen constituents of the Everyday Price Index rose in price, with the largest increases taking place in motor fuel, food away from home, and personal care services. In the 12 months from April 2023 to April 2024, headline CPI rose ...
2024-05-15 13:10:00 ET Summary Calling tops and bottoms in the stock market is the Holy Grail for investing analytics. The value of monitoring valuation/bubble risk and trend is that when the two are in agreement, the related risk analysis is arguably more persuasive. The long...
2024-05-15 08:35:00 ET Summary The dollar is trading weakly against G10 currencies and emerging market currencies as the market expects softer US CPI and retail sales data. US interest rates are softer, with Treasury yields at their lowest level since April 10. Equities are mo...
2024-05-15 02:10:00 ET Summary In June 2022, the Federal Reserve began its program of quantitative tightening (QT) as a complementary policy to conventional interest rate hikes. On May 1, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell announced an important change to the program that seemed to attrac...
2024-05-14 15:10:00 ET Summary Earlier in the day on 5/14, the NFIB published the results of its latest survey of Small Business Optimism. While the optimism index sits in the bottom decile of historical readings, the 1.2 point month-over-month jump ranks in the top quartile of mo...
2024-05-14 13:30:00 ET Summary While there is much debate over whether another bear market is imminent, weekly moving average crossovers suggest a different outcome for now. Understanding that the market tends to lead the economy by six months or more, we can use longer-term marke...
2024-05-14 10:10:00 ET Summary Demographic trends are elevating entitlement spending, and higher spending on infrastructure and other pandemic-era priorities has kept overall government outlays above pre-pandemic levels. Incremental deficit change is what influences growth rates, ...
2024-05-14 10:10:00 ET Summary Q1 earnings season winds down with retail reports over the next few weeks. The post-peak LERI reading came in at 157, showing US CEO uncertainty remains high. Outlier earnings date for the week ahead: Under Armour. This week 1,739 compan...
2024-05-14 08:15:00 ET Summary Why market performance and sentiment are diverging. The growing gap between hard economic data and soft data. Why you may be losing money if you're not in the markets. The U.S. economy continues to show its resilience, but that ...
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2024-07-03 08:30:00 ET If you've been a student of the market for any meaningful length of time, you've likely stumbled across advice to just buy and hold an S&P 500 index fund like the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (NYSEMKT: SPY) . And it's a good tip. Not only is such a plan ...
2024-05-02 07:40:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-22 13:44:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...