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2024-06-22 02:54:52 ET Summary With the election cycle entering its last five months, the political cycle will now be part of the current macro scene. This has the potential to be a market-moving issue due to the stark economic policy differences between the two candidates. In...
2024-06-21 12:04:26 ET Summary Federal Reserve's securities portfolio declined by $8.6 billion in the latest banking week ending June 19. Over the three banking weeks ending June 19, the portfolio decreased by $36.6 billion. The Federal Reserve is continuing to reduce the size...
2024-06-21 11:19:49 ET Summary Markets could face significant declines of 15%-20% in the second half of 2024 due to risk repricing and contracting valuations. Credit spreads and implied volatility levels are rising, possibly due to uncertainties around upcoming elections and conce...
2024-06-21 09:00:00 ET Summary I reflect on past bear markets caused by unsustainable debt levels and valuations, but do not see similar circumstances today. Current concerns about a looming bear market are addressed, with a focus on overbought conditions in the technology sector ...
2024-06-21 05:30:00 ET Summary The real GDP growth forecasts for 2024 have been lowered in a few major economies, including the US, Canada, Brazil and Japan. We continue to expect a gradual downward trend in global consumer price index inflation in 2024-26, driven by a moder...
2024-06-21 04:52:00 ET Summary As the first half wraps up, both US and foreign stocks are solidly positive amid AI euphoria. In the stock market, despite many calls for a broadening out of the rally, the mega-cap AI theme reasserted its dominance following small caps’ surge...
2024-06-21 04:44:10 ET Summary The S&P 500 index is currently overvalued, with its P/E and CAPE ratios significantly above historical averages, suggesting limited future returns and heightened risk. There are increasing signs of economic weakness, including rising unemployment...
2024-06-20 21:39:20 ET Summary The European Central Bank has informed the governments of the European Union to get their budgets under control. The ECB believes that the growing debt levels will "eventually" cause pain as the debt will have to be dealt with. Debt levels contin...
2024-06-20 19:45:00 ET Summary Below is a quick look at trailing 12-month price to sales ratios (P/S) over the last five years for the large-cap S&P 500 and small-cap Russell 2,000 along with each index's respective Technology sector. The Russell 2000's price to sales ratio is...
2024-06-20 11:25:00 ET Summary There are countless ways to engage in opportunistic portfolio rebalancing analytics, but a good way to start is by profiling performance. For US equities, the case for tamping down expectations looks persuasive. US Treasuries are starting to show...
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2024-07-03 08:30:00 ET If you've been a student of the market for any meaningful length of time, you've likely stumbled across advice to just buy and hold an S&P 500 index fund like the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (NYSEMKT: SPY) . And it's a good tip. Not only is such a plan ...
2024-05-02 07:40:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-22 13:44:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...