Markets Are Underpricing Inflation Risk - The February CPI Preview

2026-03-06 16:14:39 ET

Consensus Expectations - Near The 2% Target

The U.S. BLS is set to release the February CPI inflation report on March 11th. The consensus expectations are:

• The core CPI to increase by 0.2% MoM, which would be less than 0.3% MoM in January, and keep the annual core CPI unchanged at 2.5%, and
• The headline CPI inflation is to increase by 0.2% MoM, unchanged from January; however, due to base effects, this would push the annual CPI down from 2.5% to 2.4%.

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