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2024-04-25 09:10:00 ET Summary Over short time periods, such as a few quarters or a couple of years, productivity correlates very strongly with gross domestic product. Total output drives the market opportunity of companies. Total output is simply labor productivity multiplied...
2024-04-24 19:20:00 ET Summary Bank of America projects that the United States will have a debt of $34 trillion by year-end. According to our Treasury Dept., we spent $429 billion on interest payments alone in the last year. The U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) states th...
2024-04-24 13:40:00 ET Summary Given the significant reversal in sentiment and short-term oversold conditions, we highly suspect the markets will provide a reflexive rally soon. Despite the current “panic” in the media headlines, this is likely just a correction with...
2024-04-24 12:45:00 ET Summary The US economy appears on track to post softer growth in the first-quarter GDP report scheduled for release on Thursday. The key debate is whether the economy will stabilize at a softer pace of growth vs. decelerate further in the months ahead. A...
2024-04-24 12:30:00 ET Summary Last week brought hawkish remarks from a cast of Federal Open Market Committee members. I still believe a US rate cut in June and a total of three cuts for the year are very real possibilities, but markets need to see more data. Prices for West T...
2024-04-24 12:23:00 ET Summary Later this week, on Thursday, 25 April 2024, the Bureau of Economic Analysis will publish its first estimate of the United States' Gross Domestic Product during the first quarter of 2024. It's a good opportunity to check in with how 2024-Q1's GDP tra...
2024-04-24 10:15:07 ET Summary Small-cap earnings growth has been negative for six consecutive quarters, but projections show a turnaround in the second half of 2024. The Vanguard Small-Cap Index Fund ETF Shares offers a solid long-term investment option with a wide valuation gap ...
2024-04-24 09:55:00 ET Summary Hard economic data is likely past its trough, and should continue to accelerate as we progress through 2024. We are still in the early stages of the next expansionary phase in the business cycle. The lead indicators of the business cycle suggest we s...
2024-04-23 13:50:00 ET Summary The US economy powered ahead in the first quarter, as strong hiring activity and gradually waning inflationary pressures boosted consumer spending, keeping growth on solid footing. In our view, much of that strength will last, supported by changing d...
2024-04-23 13:35:00 ET Summary Over the last month, the equal-weighted S&P 500 Index is now outperforming the capitalization-weighted S&P 500 Index. Since the beginning of the year, the Mag 7 have outpaced the S&P 500 Index and some of the dividend yielding Indexes. ...
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U.S. stocks are on track to finish the week on a high, with the index futures pointing to a higher opening on Friday. The recent string of weak dat...
U.S. stocks are on track to finish the week on a high, with the index futures pointing to a higher opening on Friday. The recent string of weak dat...
U.S. stocks are poised to break a six-day losing streak, marking the end of the longest downward trend since September 2022. At noon trading in New...