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2024-04-26 14:46:58 ET Summary Major US indices down for the month, NASDAQ-100 hit with a 7.10% drawdown. In this article, I example the "usual suspects," or the big three metrics used to approximate the trajectory of the US economy. These three metrics are: inflation, GDP, an...
2024-04-26 13:08:46 ET Summary Inflation is accelerating, with core PCE and PCE Supercore rising at higher rates. Consumer inflation expectations are increasing. The current policy stance may need to shift from rate cuts to rate hikes if inflation continues to rise. The ...
2024-04-26 11:29:19 ET Summary Changes in Fedspeak are anticipated as the latest GDP print came in lower than expected while inflation has inched up. Interest rates are set to remain unchanged, however. While the sub-trend growth along with weaker consumer sentiment and company le...
2024-04-26 10:05:00 ET Summary The Mag 7 has clearly had a terrific single year and a good cumulative three years. In order to outperform, a trader needs to be nimble enough to know when to switch from concentration to diversification and when to switch back. I personally favo...
2024-04-26 08:59:42 ET Market participants found themselves to be overall net buyers of fund assets, which included both conventional funds and exchange traded funds, for the first week in three as the investment community injected $5.5B into the fund space.... Read the full article o...
2024-04-26 08:35:00 ET Summary In Q1 2024, consumers spent very vigorously on services at the fastest growth rate since 2021, adjusted for inflation, but not so vigorously on goods. Dragging on GDP were the trade deficit, which worsened sharply on a majestic surge of imports, and ...
2024-04-26 05:10:00 ET Summary Markets have overreacted to Thursday's first quarter GDP stats; quarterly numbers are by nature volatile. The first estimate of Q1/24 GDP growth came in weaker than expected (1.6% vs 2.5%). On a quarterly basis, the deflator grew at a 3.7% annual...
2024-04-26 04:20:00 ET Summary The Fed recently released the March money supply numbers, and the story hasn't changed. M2 surged from early 2020 through early 2022, thanks to $6 trillion of deficit spending that was effectively monetized. The bulge in M2 rose to a high of $4.7...
2024-04-26 03:50:00 ET Summary The NFIB Small Business Survey has consistently shown pessimistic expectations for sales, the economy and earnings, but the U.S. economy has performed well despite this pessimism. Adjusting sales for inflation is considered nonsensical, and mentions ...
2024-04-26 03:25:00 ET Summary US GDP growth slowed to 1.6% annualised in the first quarter of this year, less than half the 3.4% rate recorded in 4Q23, but core inflation was stronger, picking up from a 2% annualised rate to 3.7%. This implies upside risks to tomorrow’s ke...
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2024-06-22 16:10:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-22 02:34:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-01-09 07:52:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...