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2024-04-08 20:45:00 ET Summary Right about the present level of the 10-year Treasury yield (4.4% as of Friday’s close) the stock market began to feel pressure last summer. While it is difficult to see bonds selling off and yields rising, if the Fed is to cut rates, maybe th...
2024-04-08 12:20:00 ET Summary Working-age populations are declining in major economies. We favor countries that are better adapting and sectors set to benefit from spending shifts. U.S. yields jumped last week but U.S. stocks remain near all-time highs. The strong March U.S. jobs...
2024-04-08 09:00:00 ET Summary Looking forward, our base case is that the Fed engineers a soft landing and starts to normalize policy rates in the second half of the year. In recent quarters, large-cap technology has outperformed in both higher and lower rate regimes. The weig...
2024-04-08 07:47:00 ET Summary The S&P 500 pulled back from last week's record-high close. On Monday, 1 April 2024, signs that oil prices are likely to rise in the months ahead pushed up inflation expectations. Later in the week, several Fed officials responded by trying t...
2024-04-08 07:25:00 ET Summary The real story of the last three years is that commodities and large cap stocks are the only major asset classes providing returns for a diversified investor. Small- and mid-cap value stocks have produced better returns but haven’t kept up wit...
2024-04-07 23:35:00 ET Summary Q4 ’23 EPS ended at $57.16, up from $54.69 at the end of the previous quarter. The final 2023 calendar S&P 500 EPS ended at $222.94 versus the expected $219.67 at the end of the previous quarter. The Q1 ’24 S&P 500 EPS estim...
2024-04-07 15:49:41 ET Summary The Federal Reserve is expected to lower interest rates, but the economy and stock market don't need stimulation. Treasury Bills currently yield 2.5% more than historical average, while long-term bonds earn 0.5% less. Inflationary pressures from ...
2024-04-07 06:30:00 ET Summary The stock market is wobbling due to climbing rates and widening credit spreads as financial conditions tighten again. Liquidity flows turning as Bank Term Fund Program drains and reserve balances at the Fed likely peaked. Combination of tightenin...
2024-04-06 04:39:19 ET Summary Money Market Fund Assets surged $70.5 billion last week to a record $6.111 TN. Our understanding of the most momentous financial and economic occurrence of the past century has been terribly undermined over the decades. Credit growth remained str...
2024-04-06 03:50:00 ET Summary For the past 12 months, despite the interest rates that the Fed jacked up to 5.25%, nearly 3 million nonfarm payroll jobs have been added. Average hourly earnings rose in March at an annualized rate of 4.3%, also according to the survey of employers,...
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2024-06-12 17:26:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-12 02:50:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-02 18:02:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...