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2024-05-24 18:40:00 ET Summary The “Magnificent Seven” became the “Magnificent One” - Nvidia. The Fed minutes trigger a market collapse on no new news. When in doubt, return to the Covid playbook. My guess the reason to be primitive AI...
2024-05-24 09:45:00 ET Summary It is widely known that markets can be influenced by economic data releases that deviate significantly from consensus. We have quantified the impact of economic surprises on the US government bond market for different tenors, as measured by the quint...
2024-05-24 07:35:00 ET Summary The dollar is paring yesterday's advance that was spurred by the rise in US rates following the preliminary PMI. Asia Pacific and European equities have sold off in the wake of yesterday's slide in the US. The Canadian dollar was the weakest of t...
2024-05-24 04:45:01 ET Summary The Fed warns that "valuations across a range of markets appeared high relative to risk-adjusted cash flows". This is essentially a warning about the "everything bubble". Due to the sticky and elevated inflation, the Fed will be forced to burst t...
2024-05-24 00:05:00 ET Summary The current focus of the FOMC is on achieving the inflation mandate rather than the employment mandate. The FOMC is more concerned about the risk of inflation than the state of the labor market. Unemployment remains low and is not a major concern...
2024-05-23 12:31:32 ET Summary The Fed minutes read much more hawkishly than expected. The Fed is not nearly as confident on the path of inflation as previously thought. The odds for rate hikes are better than what would have been thought at this point. The FOMC minutes ...
2024-05-23 11:19:00 ET Summary In March 2023, the AIER Business Conditions Monthly Leading Indicator fell to its lowest level in five months. The Roughly Coincident Indicator, meanwhile, rose to its highest reading since September 2023. The index levels for March were 58 for t...
2024-05-23 10:16:00 ET Summary The employment situation for U.S. teenagers dipped slightly in April 2024. The seasonally adjusted number of 16-19 year olds counted as having jobs decreased from the previous month's total by 23,000 to 5,839,000. Although it dipped, the jobs tre...
2024-05-23 02:00:00 ET Summary The price-to-earnings ratio of the Magnificent Seven is not yet at levels seen during the 1999 tech bubble, but historical observations can elude forecast accuracy. The S&P 500 Index today is the most concentrated it's been since the 1950s. A...
2024-05-23 00:20:00 ET Summary Two driving forces are now simultaneously pushing in the direction of higher long-term real interest rates. While investors and commentators often tend to conflate the two, I think it is useful instead to distinguish them clearly. They are rising inv...
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2024-06-12 17:26:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-12 02:50:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-02 18:02:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...