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Our rising price problem is, more than anything, a supply problem, and reducing demand is certainly one way to tackle it. But returning to the pre-COVID growth rate doesn’t mean we are headed to recession, that contraction is in our immediate future. US stocks and REITs wer...
Exactly a year ago I shared a chart here that represented “An Epic Set Of Alligator Jaws.” It plotted the weighting of the energy sector within the S&P 500 Index versus the combined weightings of the tech and communications services sectors. The energy sector has ris...
We are seeing an increase in gasoline demand in North America, not a decrease. Exxon continues to rake in the cash as they touched quarterly revenue levels not seen since 2014. Exxon has increased its buyback plans from $10 billion to $30 billion by the end of 2023. Will we see mo...
BIREF has been increasing cash flow, reducing debt, and rewarding shareholders. Birchcliff Energy plans for modest growth over the next 4 years, to 90K BOEPD. LNG development in Western Canada could be a catalyst for its 80% gas oriented production. We think Birchcliff present...
Our macroeconomic forecasting team assesses how the war and latest survey data have altered the economic outlook, policymaking and recession risks. Global growth was dragged lower, principally by steep contractions in Russia and mainland China. Barring the initial COVID-19 outbreak, M...
SEA experienced a severe contraction in 2020 because of lockdowns and border closures to control the spread of the COVID-19 pandemic, which halted economic activity and business in the region. Singapore is on track for power demand recovery. The average power demand in Q1-2022 surpass...
The EIA reported Brazil’s January production increased by 194 kb/d to 3,032 kb/d. The EIA reported that Russian output decreased by 99 kb/d in January to 10,598 kb/d. January’s world oil production increased by 137 kb/d to 79,659 kb/d according to the EIA. For ...
Pioneer Natural Resources reported tremendous YOY growth in terms of every single financial metric. The company benefited from both higher energy prices and production than in the year-ago quarter. The company is unlikely to deliver much in the way of growth over the course of thi...
Just when we thought the world economy was regaining its footing, a military conflict in Europe has led us to reconsider our outlook for growth and inflation. In light of Russia’s invasion, we developed a framework for thinking about the economic impact of the conflict on the e...
Valero is improving its business faster than I expected, as it benefits from strong domestic and international demand as well as high margins. Dividend growth investors are in a terrific spot as the company's balance sheet is recovering quickly, leaving room for high dividend growth a...
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Despite OPEC and its allies’ (aka OPEC+) plans to raise their oil production output target beginning in February, rising demand for oil and natural gas in the recovering global economy should accelerate the performance of energy companies. Therefore, we think dividend-paying ETFs Energ...
With inflation now hitting record highs, we think it could be wise to bet on energy ETFs because the energy sector usually fares well in an inflationary environment. Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLE), Vanguard Energy ETF (VDE), SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF (X...