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Factory new orders are down year over year and barely afloat excluding transportation. Inventories are a concern. The monthly report on Manufacturers' Shipments, Inventories and Orders , shows strong signs of a manufacturing sector that has peaked. New Orders New orders for manufactured...
Originally published July 3, 2019 The US manufacturing sector may not be in as bad a shape as its German or Japanese counterparts, though it appears to be catching up on the downside. The Census Bureau reports today that new orders for all types of goods in all industries fell 1.6% year-ov...
By Robert Hughes The Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index from the Institute for Supply Management registered a 51.7 percent reading in June, down 0.4 points from 52.1 in May. June was the third straight monthly decline and the lowest reading since October 2016 (see top chart). June was...
ACT Research, the leading publisher of commercial vehicle industry data in North America, reported last week that freight rates in for-hire trucking had declined in May. It was the fourth month in a row when prices had been pressured. More and more, there is a downturn growing in the transport...
Introduction As of now, June 2019, there is a fundamental bifurcation in the business cycle environment. Long leading indicators taken as a whole, like real money supply and housing, are improving despite the alarm bells set off by the yield curve. Meanwhile, the short leading forecast is de...
By James Knightley , Chief International Economist Intensifying trade war fears and an inventory overhang are weighing on the manufacturing sector. Regional surveys suggest the national ISM manufacturing index will fall below the breakeven 50 level on Monday, which will only heighten fe...
No one variable provides the key to the future direction of the economy or market. However, one economic data point that tends to get a lot of attention is the Purchasing Managers' Index for both manufacturing and non-manufacturing parts of the economy. In fact, in an article I wrote earlier t...
By Jill Mislinski This June 21 morning's release of the publicly available data from ECRI puts its Weekly Leading Index ((WLI)) at 144.6, up 0.2 from the previous week. Year-over-year, the four-week moving average of the indicator is now at -2.85%, down from last week. The WLI Growth indic...
After month/month increases in three of the four prior months, the June Empire Manufacturing report fell and fell hard. While economists were expecting the headline index to drop from 17.8 down to 11.0, the actual decline was much larger, sending the headline index down to negative 8.6. With...
It seems one topic of interest continues to be talk of a recession as a result of the trade and tariff situation. A recent CNN Business article noted, "America's business leaders are growing more worried that the United States will enter a recession by the end of 2020. Their primary fear: pr...
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2024-04-06 11:12:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-17 08:52:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-01-24 01:18:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...