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Market Finally Cracks Over the last few weeks, we have discussed that while the markets were continuing their seemingly " unstoppable" advance, there were many "technical extremes" reached. Here is the problem with watching media headlines rather than paying attention to what is happeni...
At the recent Jackson Hole Economic Summit, Jerome Powell unveiled the Fed's new monetary policy designed to create inflation. In today's #Macroview, we will discuss the 5 reasons why the Fed will not get inflation, and why deflation is the bigger risk. The current assumption is that the Fed...
QE fundamentally changed finance. What commenced at the Federal Reserve with a post-mortgage finance bubble, $1 trillion Treasury buying operation morphed into open-ended purchases of Treasuries, MBS, corporate bonds and even corporate ETFs holding high-yield "junk" bonds. Markets assume it's ...
By Robert Hughes U.S. nonfarm payrolls posted a fourth monthly gain in August, adding 1.4 million jobs following a 1.7 million rise in July, a 4.8 million surge in June, and a 2.7 million gain in May. However, the four-month total gain of 10.6 million is far from offsetting the 22.2 millio...
On a special, blog-only edition of Market Week in Review, Mark Eibel, director, client investment strategies, and Research Analyst Laura Bardewyck discussed recent economic data releases, the current market selloff and the potential influence of U.S. election season on markets. Key takeaway...
By Jill Mislinski Official recession calls are the responsibility of the NBER Business Cycle Dating Committee, which is understandably vague about the specific indicators on which they base their decisions. This committee statement is about as close as they get to identifying their metho...
Ouch. We haven't seen a drubbing like this since June 11th, when the market sank 5.9%. That 5.9% drop was the 20th worst day in 70 years. How does today's drop stack up? Today's 3.5% drop was a big deal. It was the 71st worst out of 17,783 trading days since 1950. That puts it at the 0.4% pe...
Dear Friends, This post is in some ways a hybrid between the posts This Has Never Happened Before and The Rules, Part LXIV "Weird begets weird." What I am writing stems from what I have been hearing on Bloomberg Radio and other media outlets where they have bought into the idea that bu...
Analysts spend volumes debating why, oh, why is September such a poor month to get through? Wrong question. Ask first if there is any validity to this oft-repeated fable. It has been told so many times that many people believe it. Here is a recent headline from Mark Hulbert, a MarketWatch co...
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2024-07-12 05:48:00 ET Exchange-traded funds (ETFs) can be great for any investing style. Want growth? No problem. Are you a value investor? There are plenty of ETFs you'll probably like. Seeking income? You'll also have many ETFs from which to choose. Even if you desire exceptionally h...