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I have in the past forecast stock market returns using a formula that is, in fact, a tautology - which Webster defines as a statement that is true by virtue of its logical form alone. That formula is shown in the following picture. (Source: Target Date Solutions) My challenge in the past h...
This post originally appeared on the BlackRock Read more ...
By Alessio de Longis, CFA, Senior Portfolio Manager, Invesco Investment Solutions A strengthening global recovery to support risky assets, favoring developed ex-US and emerging market equities. Macro update We believe the global economy is healing, and we expect its upward growth t...
Source: Barron's U.S. industrial production for the month of July rose 3.0 percent from the prior month: "Reflecting sharp increases in manufacturing and utilities output, the Labor Department released a report on Friday showing a jump in U.S. industrial production in the month o...
The other day I read an interesting piece that essentially said that the CNN Fear & Greed index was the author’s “ 1 Indicator To Predict Market Corrections ”. The Fear & Greed index is meant to show how fearful or greedy the market is, implying that markets are li...
Central banks to be called upon again The final months of the year are going to be extremely challenging for the global economy, with experts predicting another significant wave of COVID-19 which risks further restrictions around the world at the expense of businesses that are already strugg...
Special Video Much of today's commentary is also in the interview I did on Thursday with our friends over at Peak Prosperity. We discuss the market, portfolio management, risk controls, and why there is potentially still more downside risk to stocks in both the short and intermediate term....
During extended bull markets, rationalization becomes commonplace to justify overpaying for value. One such rationalization is the permanent shift in valuations higher due to changes in accounting rules, share buybacks, and greater adoption by the public of investing (aka ETFs). The chart ...
On the latest edition of Market Week in Review, Director and Senior Investment Strategist Paul Eitelman and Senior Client Investment Analyst Chris Kyle discussed the ongoing volatility in equity markets, recent U.S. inflation data and the latest on a potential vaccine for COVID-19. Nas...
By Kristina Hooper, Chief Global Market Strategist Weekly Market Compass: Key themes have emerged during the pandemic that may support long-term tech growth. It feels like investors have been on a wild ride over the past week as tech stocks plunged, dragging down major global indexes...
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2024-07-17 07:15:00 ET Dividend stocks can be dual-threat vehicles, offering investors the best of both worlds. Specifically, these equities can act as reliable passive income generators while simultaneously possessing the potential to increase your net worth through share-price appreciatio...
2024-07-12 05:48:00 ET Exchange-traded funds (ETFs) can be great for any investing style. Want growth? No problem. Are you a value investor? There are plenty of ETFs you'll probably like. Seeking income? You'll also have many ETFs from which to choose. Even if you desire exceptionally h...