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The inherent problem of tying your Presidency to the stock market is that it's all fine until it isn't. The market rallied on what is for now "hope" of more stimulus. There is still no deal on Capitol Hill, and the parties are still far apart primarily on funding for states and munici...
At least for now, for the markets it's weirder the better. With Biden's lead appearing increasingly insurmountable (with less than four weeks to go), we can assume there was this week significant buying associated with the partial reversal of market hedges. Chairman Powell made hi...
Positive economic data from Europe and the U.S. Powell calls for more U.S. fiscal stimulus. Strong week for small cap U.S. cyclical stocks. For further details see: U.S. Services Sector Employment Expands For First Time In COVID-19 Era
There is currently much hope for another fiscal stimulus package to be delivered to the economy from Congress. While most hope more stimulus will cure the economy's ills, it will likely disappoint due to the "2nd derivative effect." At some point, you have to realize that you can'...
The expected 2020 EPS growth rate for the Financial sector improved from -36% to -32% by the end of July '20 but has remained stagnant since. 2021's expected revenue growth was greater than the 2020 percentage decline until April 10th, and then, 2020's expected percentage decline ecli...
This is a weekly series focused on analyzing the previous week’s economic data releases. The objective is to concentrate on leading indicators of economic activity to determine whether the economy is strengthening or weakening and the rate of inflation is increasing or decreasi...
History has taught us to pay attention to the last three months prior to election day as a potential sign of things to come. Whenever the S&P 500 has been higher in the three months leading up to election day, the incumbent candidate won in 20 out of 23 elections. We don't yet...
Despite falling more steeply in the March downdraft, US equities have handily outperformed international stocks this year. The US has gained much of its edge since June, when the rally elsewhere began losing steam. Since the beginning of 2019, the Russell 1000 has amassed a nearly...
Some earnings and revenue growth data was going to be added on the Financial sector, but given the drop in the 10-year Treasury this morning, with the 10-year Treasury yield now at 74 bps, a post dedicated to worries about rising interest rates made more sense. A steepening yield curv...
Volatility in the technology sector has increased significantly. Growth, COVID-19, and U.S. Election are driving volatility. Volatility can often mislead investors into making bad decisions. For further details see: Volatility Is Back: Keep Calm And Carry On
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2024-07-17 07:15:00 ET Dividend stocks can be dual-threat vehicles, offering investors the best of both worlds. Specifically, these equities can act as reliable passive income generators while simultaneously possessing the potential to increase your net worth through share-price appreciatio...
2024-07-12 05:48:00 ET Exchange-traded funds (ETFs) can be great for any investing style. Want growth? No problem. Are you a value investor? There are plenty of ETFs you'll probably like. Seeking income? You'll also have many ETFs from which to choose. Even if you desire exceptionally h...