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Investors whose sole focus is on returns fail because they don’t structure a portfolio that properly accounts for risk. Growth in America has been going down over time, due in part to both demographics and regulation; going forward, we’re unlikely to see GDP numbers abov...
Uncertainty regarding COVID-19 has lessened and the recovery is on track. But politics and the widening gap between the parties’ policy goals have a key role in the economic recoveryandformarkets. This week brought the start of the Q3 earnings season, and we'll be paying partic...
The dollar is falling against most of the world's currencies today. Sterling and the Norwegian krone are leading the majors higher. The Chinese yuan extended its gains and is now at the best level since July 2018. In Asia, most of the large markets gained, but China, India, an...
Since the Fed intervened in March, investor sentiment has gotten run back up to extremes despite the economy remaining amid a deep recession. Both the Technical and market positioning "Fear/Greed" gauges have moved back into more extreme territory following the brief September decline...
We like higher-yielding credit amid low rates, and see corporate restructurings offering growth and potential return diversification for private credit investors. A pickup in COVID-19 cases may weigh on mobility and activity in the near term, but we see this wave of infections as much...
Expect pre-election volatility in the averages to increase from here. Tech sector stocks are vulnerable to additional shake-outs. Broad market internal strength should prevent a serious decline, however. For further details see: The October Curse Strikes Again
The central banks have increased their assets by 38.5% in the last twelve months, which has had a profound effect on both the bond and equity markets globally. They have pushed down interest rates for their nations, in an attempt to control the debt of their respective governments, as...
European bond prices have an unmistakable correlation to European COVID infections. The strategy of ensuring the banking system remains well capitalized - while letting market-based finance run wild - may have plausible theoretical underpinnings. The "penalty rate" issue is key to...
There are continuing political and pandemic stories that could dominate the news cycle at any time. Many of the normal economic indicators are not helpful in the wake of the COVID lockdown decline. Retail sales improved 1.9% in September, beating expectations of a 0.6% gain and Au...
With the release of industrial production figures today, the deceleration in economic activity continues, according to some key indicators noted by the NBER's Business Cycle Dating Committee. Industrial production fell -0.6% m/m vs. Bloomberg consensus of +0.5%. The series was rev...
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2024-07-17 07:15:00 ET Dividend stocks can be dual-threat vehicles, offering investors the best of both worlds. Specifically, these equities can act as reliable passive income generators while simultaneously possessing the potential to increase your net worth through share-price appreciatio...
2024-07-12 05:48:00 ET Exchange-traded funds (ETFs) can be great for any investing style. Want growth? No problem. Are you a value investor? There are plenty of ETFs you'll probably like. Seeking income? You'll also have many ETFs from which to choose. Even if you desire exceptionally h...