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Last week’s rally took the S&P back to all-time highs, reducing concerns about a more significant decline in the near term. However, with money flows still trending negatively, we may see some recent advance consolidation next week. While more stimulus will likely support p...
U.S. and global equities markets are historic speculative bubbles, fueled by runaway monetary inflation and acute monetary disorder. It's my opinion that markets in U.S. stocks, cryptocurrencies, corporate credit and derivatives have evolved into full-fledged manias. The Fed's Z.1 "fl...
The bond market seems determined to make this an interesting FOMC policy decision. Treasury yields have been surging after the Biden administration passed the $1.9 trillion COVID relief bill and set a May 1st goal of getting vaccines to all adults. The taper tantrum might get pric...
The preliminary March results from the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers show overall consumer sentiment rose in early March, hitting the highest level in a year. Ongoing distribution of vaccines as well as expectations for stimulus were the primary drivers. Continued ea...
10-year U.S. Treasury yield. Where is it headed? Will high-flying tech and momentum stocks fly high again? Is this a short-lived sector rotation from tech into value? For further details see: The Great Tech Rotation. Will High-Flying Tech Fly High Again?
Although with the exception of one month there have been job gains every month starting last May, at the pace of the last few months it would take 2 years or more just to get back to the level of employment just before the pandemic struck. In both 2001 and 2008, hours were cut more th...
Despite the pandemic and the resulting lockdowns, business closures and, at its worst point, the loss of more than 20 million jobs, the US household balance sheet improved massively through 2020. US household net worth increased $12.6 trillion last year as unprecedented fiscal and mon...
Senate Republicans are pushing for a number of changes, but ultimately a $1.9 trillion stimulus bill looks likely to pass. We expect two quarters of blockbuster economic growth as pent-up consumer demand is unleashed. An infrastructure/climate bill will be more challenging for the...
Texas Governor Greg Abbott lifting the mask mandate on Tuesday is good news and will help to stimulate new job growth in the upcoming months. Mississippi Governor Tate Reeves announced similar moves. The other exciting thing that briefly boosted financial markets early last week was t...
A year and a pandemic after the U.S.-China Phase 1 trade deal was signed, the trailing 12-month average of the combined value of goods traded between them is back to its November 2019 level. The pandemic has cost the U.S. and China the equivalent of 9 and a half months' worth of lost ...
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2024-07-17 07:15:00 ET Dividend stocks can be dual-threat vehicles, offering investors the best of both worlds. Specifically, these equities can act as reliable passive income generators while simultaneously possessing the potential to increase your net worth through share-price appreciatio...
2024-07-12 05:48:00 ET Exchange-traded funds (ETFs) can be great for any investing style. Want growth? No problem. Are you a value investor? There are plenty of ETFs you'll probably like. Seeking income? You'll also have many ETFs from which to choose. Even if you desire exceptionally h...