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We are recovering from a sharp if brief recession, and with the dual fire hoses of fiscal and monetary stimulus, entering a boom such as we have probably not seen in over 50 years. Unsurprisingly, supplies of commodities and goods that had been cut back during the recession are going ...
On an unadjusted basis, new jobless claims rose by 18,172 to 740,787. Seasonally adjusted claims rose by 16,000 to 744,000. Continuing claims, which historically lag initial claims by a few weeks to several months, continued to make new pandemic lows yet again this week. For...
The PPI report last week didn't make a ripple in the markets, but the commentariat was all aTwitter about inflation and economic overheating and whether Powell might raise in rates in 2 years or 3. The market was not impressed. The 10-year Treasury yield moved all of about 1 basis poi...
With the weekly "buy signals" intact, the markets should hold above key support levels during the next consolidation phase. However, risks are building that have preceded more significant market declines in the past (5-10%). Currently, with investors chasing momentum in a highly i...
The spectacular collapse of Archegos marks a significant inflection point, ushering in a tightening of lending conditions at the "margin" for increasingly vulnerable bubbles. In contrast to the previous bubble period, government "money" has been a principal bubble fuel. Policymakers h...
For the February period, job openings equal nearly 7.4 million and are approaching the peak job openings level of 7.5 million reached in late 2018. This represents a positive sign that economic activity is increasing and businesses are experiencing increasing demand; hence, the need f...
Initial claims for regular state unemployment insurance totaled 744,000 for the week ending April 3, up 16,000 from the previous week's upwardly revised tally of 728,000. Despite a second consecutive uptick, the outlook for jobs and the economy has been improving as government restric...
We look through potential reasons for the April bounce in fixed income. A stubborn Fed and gloomy eurozone outlook provide the best, if unsatisfactory, explanations. Upcoming US inflation data and supply offer the most likely drivers for a return to the higher rates trend. F...
Adam D. Koós, CFP, CMT discusses the stock market, bond market, gold, gold mining stocks, to bitcoin, seasonality, and expectations regarding the next month and beyond. Markets may be a little overbought in the near term, but there’s no reason to be worried or to figure ou...
The creation of 916,000 jobs in the month of March is truly impressive and a sign of a rebound in the nation's economy, bringing the total for the first quarter to 1.6 million jobs. The March number far exceeds the 647,000 jobs predicted by economists and was nearly twice the 517,000 ...
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2024-07-17 07:15:00 ET Dividend stocks can be dual-threat vehicles, offering investors the best of both worlds. Specifically, these equities can act as reliable passive income generators while simultaneously possessing the potential to increase your net worth through share-price appreciatio...
2024-07-12 05:48:00 ET Exchange-traded funds (ETFs) can be great for any investing style. Want growth? No problem. Are you a value investor? There are plenty of ETFs you'll probably like. Seeking income? You'll also have many ETFs from which to choose. Even if you desire exceptionally h...