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Fortunately, the current year has been a bit kinder to prognosticators than the previous one. The bull market that began in 2009 didn’t end when the coronavirus panic pushed the S&P 500 down 34 percent from its previous high. The post-Covid rally, and particularly the fasci...
Given the fuss about the goods buying mania, if the whole domestic system were to match or even approach it, one would think this alleged inflationary boom would have to keep something like the CFNAI far above 0. However, the latest reading for June 2021 at just 0.09 indicates growth bare...
Initial claims for regular state unemployment insurance totaled 419,000 for the week ending July 17, a rise of 51,000 from the previous week’s tally of 368,000. The revised results suggest weekly initial claims may be plateauing around the 400,000 level. The number of ongoing c...
Vix spikes as volatility rattles the Dow. The advantage of using options strategies when markets turn volatile. How investors can use sector rotations. For further details see: Navigating Market Uncertainty And Higher Volatility
Since last November’s vaccine news, financial markets have been "hanging ten" on a swell of cyclical, value and small-cap stocks, and rising Treasury yields. Crosswinds started to grow in the second quarter, however, as economic and inflation data ran hot: rising yields stalled...
We’ve moved past the early-cycle environment that predominated risk taking in 2020, post the pandemic lows, and we’re moving really into a mid-cycle environment, which tends to be constructive for risk. This mid-cycle environment is still going to be expansionary, albeit...
Growth-oriented asset classes are likely to shine, but not equally. Above-trend growth is a supportive environment of risky assets like equities or credit. On valuation grounds, equities are looking a little cheaper. Geraldine Sundstrom and Erin Browne discuss PIMCO’s views...
It would be normal for markets to go sideways over the summer months, especially considering the fast spread of the Covid Delta variant, and more cases globally. Other obvious triggers for a consolidation would be a more aggressive signaling for a change in Fed policy, which is unlike...
A majority of BlackRock investors in a recent survey felt that inflation would be transitory. Yet, they also felt the market might overreact to the inflation data, making some portfolio protection prudent. Economically sensitive cyclical stocks have had a very strong run since the ann...
Strategas Managing Director and Head of Fixed Income Research Tom Tzitzouris breaks down the recent action in the bond market. He hits on the hotter-than-expected inflation data, the Fed’s actions, and his outlook for interest rates. He also discusses another headwind appro...
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2024-07-17 07:15:00 ET Dividend stocks can be dual-threat vehicles, offering investors the best of both worlds. Specifically, these equities can act as reliable passive income generators while simultaneously possessing the potential to increase your net worth through share-price appreciatio...
2024-07-12 05:48:00 ET Exchange-traded funds (ETFs) can be great for any investing style. Want growth? No problem. Are you a value investor? There are plenty of ETFs you'll probably like. Seeking income? You'll also have many ETFs from which to choose. Even if you desire exceptionally h...