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Taking investment cues from market price trends is pure Momentum Investing. Fundamentals do indeed determine the price trends over longer periods, but not within the time frame presented by media pundits. Fear of loss (risk) is the main driver in the human psyche, and this has long be...
The next Z.1 report comes out in late September, but will only bring the data up to June 30th. I use a pair of adjustments to adjust the share of assets invested in risk assets between releases. The share of funds model now rates the market as having the highest valuation since 1945. ...
Any disappointment in key US data today is likely to see a larger reaction than a consensus beat. Markets are primed for hints of further deceleration, sentiment already dampened by the spreading delta variant and geopolitics. More concrete hints on the Fed taper will be needed fo...
Senator Joe Manchin (D-WV) is “deeply concerned” about the Fed’s easy money policy and urged the Fed to curtail its aggressive intervention in the bond market. This raises questions about whether or not the Fed might taper sooner than expected. I believe the Fed w...
NUSI is another of these new ETF options that produce a high amount of income as a way of attracting new assets from yield hungry investors. The fund pays a healthy 7.3%+ dividend yield but that is not earned, instead paid out of gains from the underlying index (the Nasdaq 100). T...
Numerous multi-decade extremes support a bearish conclusion for U.S. equities. The media has featured numerous articles about how there has been a rotation among equity sectors. The assumption which underlies almost all of these analyses is that we are in a bull market and that the se...
We believe ignoring the effects of climate change on portfolios is not an option, and the window for investors to position portfolios may be shrinking. The U.S. Senate passed a $1.2 trillion infrastructure bill that now awaits a House vote. Congress will take up the $3.5 trillion spen...
The volatility of the dollar does present some problems for the world but, for better or worse, it is the world’s reserve currency and I see no real threat to that status on the horizon. I positioned our portfolios for a weak dollar period early last summer and maintained those...
This week, the market did register new highs, but only by a small fraction. What is important to note is that these incremental gains are burning through buying power, which leaves the markets increasingly vulnerable to a correction, given the proper catalyst. However, for now, with v...
With about 90 percent of all S&P 500 companies having reported, the blended growth rate - comprising the actual reported numbers along with analysts’ estimates for the remaining 10 percent - is a stonking 91 percent. A big part of that figure comes from the basis of compari...
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2024-07-17 07:15:00 ET Dividend stocks can be dual-threat vehicles, offering investors the best of both worlds. Specifically, these equities can act as reliable passive income generators while simultaneously possessing the potential to increase your net worth through share-price appreciatio...
2024-07-12 05:48:00 ET Exchange-traded funds (ETFs) can be great for any investing style. Want growth? No problem. Are you a value investor? There are plenty of ETFs you'll probably like. Seeking income? You'll also have many ETFs from which to choose. Even if you desire exceptionally h...