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The pandemic is just one long-term consideration for economies as the world adjusts to several new phases. Short-term risks are elevated, but a focus on interactions between major long-term risks could prove critical for market participants. Demographic patterns change slowly, but...
Parabolic prices are usually the prelude to significant price declines. The New York Stock Exchange Advance Decline line may have delivered a bullish technical divergence. Barring extraordinary circumstances, the Fed will stick to the slow and steady plan for raising rates u...
The tragedy of the unfolding events in Ukraine is the pure futility of the widespread loss of life. The Russian invasion has manifestly failed to achieve quick regime change. Western politicians have realised they have the popular support to economically pressure Russia, no matter the...
This post attempts to put the dollar and commodity prices in some long-term perspective. What stands out the most is that the dollar is relatively strong vis a vis most other currencies, but commodity prices are also very strong. It's also not hard to argue that the current surge ...
Risk of a recession is increasing as oil price spikes plus a Fed rate hike on the horizon. With Russian crude exports at risk, the gap will be too large to fill for OPEC, US, or Iran (if sanctions are getting lifted). The only balancing variable left is demand destruction, and ana...
Almost every commodity rose in prices last week, as did the dollar. Those two factors - rising dollar and rising commodity prices - mean the likelihood of recession in the coming year has risen significantly in just the last week. There was considerable volatility in stocks last week,...
G5 central bank asset purchases are signaling that global PMIs are likely headed lower in the coming quarters. Inflation has completely destroyed real income growth. Speculative leverage has significantly reduced over the past couple of months. For further details see: G...
Emerging Markets are outperforming the rest of the world, due in large part to windfall profits in the commodities-exporting countries of South America and the Middle East. If you want to follow the money, this is a good place to start. Money has been flowing out of tech, consumer dis...
US oil data from US Energy Information Administration for the week ending February 25th indicated that after a big jump in our oil exports and a drop in our oil imports, we had to pull oil out of our stored commercial crude supplies for the tenth time in 14 weeks and for the 26th time in ...
Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has ramifications for global inflation and growth, according to Franklin Templeton Fixed Income. Western governments have not yet implemented direct sanctions on Russian oil and gas, but there have already been significant impacts on Russian oil tra...
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In this episode of Industry Focus: Energy , Nick Sciple chats with Motley Fool analyst Jim Gillies about some recent interesting stories. They discuss Warren Buffett selling airline stocks and Elon Musk's Twitter antics. Jim talks about digging deeper into companies' financials. They also t...
In this episode of Rule Breaker Investing , David Gardner chats with Motley Fool analysts Buck Hartzell and Robert Brokamp about dividend investing. Discover how dividends have behaved historically and their importance. Which one is better for shareholders: dividends or share buybacks? What s...
Barclays Bank PLC (“Barclays” or the “Issuer”) announced a temporary reduction of the minimum early redemption size of certain series of ETNs as specified in the table below (together, the “ETNs”). Currently holders of the ETNs are required to redeem...