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Our macroeconomic forecasting team assesses how the war and latest survey data have altered the economic outlook, policymaking and recession risks. Global growth was dragged lower, principally by steep contractions in Russia and mainland China. Barring the initial COVID-19 outbreak, M...
It was a tremendous week of market volatility for every asset class on Wall Street. It is still all about inflation and what will be the reaction from central banks. A challenging inflation and growth mix have driven investor concerns that the Fed won’t be able to deliver a...
SEA experienced a severe contraction in 2020 because of lockdowns and border closures to control the spread of the COVID-19 pandemic, which halted economic activity and business in the region. Singapore is on track for power demand recovery. The average power demand in Q1-2022 surpass...
The last two years have seen the world turned upside down by the pandemic and the climate crisis. Even when the going was tough, many rig contractors took the measure of the times and worked to get their rigs 'greener'. Green tech is relatively nascent and will take time to become...
Why markets have been falling ever since the Fed hiked rates? Why bonds may now provide improved opportunities for investors? Volatility likely isn't going anywhere anytime soon. So, what should investors do? For further details see: Markets Sell Off As Volatility Spikes...
The EIA reported Brazil’s January production increased by 194 kb/d to 3,032 kb/d. The EIA reported that Russian output decreased by 99 kb/d in January to 10,598 kb/d. January’s world oil production increased by 137 kb/d to 79,659 kb/d according to the EIA. For ...
Just when we thought the world economy was regaining its footing, a military conflict in Europe has led us to reconsider our outlook for growth and inflation. In light of Russia’s invasion, we developed a framework for thinking about the economic impact of the conflict on the e...
Some astute stock market observers are pointing out that due to inflation, a massive P/E compression is now underway. You can’t have a negative quarter when nearly all the constituent components of GDP are rising. Small businesses appear to be incurring a higher "quit" rate...
Predictions a few weeks ago of peak gasoline prices have been obviated by the inflationary mindset. Gasoline futures have been breath-takingly volatile since February, with huge spikes and drops, that led to a new record on Friday, but on Monday, they fell from that record. Gap be...
T-note futures took out lows going back to 2011 last night, extending the free fall that began just two months ago. It’s not just the price action of Treasury futures that has us spooked; it’s also what some key commodities are telling us. How long will it be before ...
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In this episode of Industry Focus: Energy , Nick Sciple chats with Motley Fool analyst Jim Gillies about some recent interesting stories. They discuss Warren Buffett selling airline stocks and Elon Musk's Twitter antics. Jim talks about digging deeper into companies' financials. They also t...
In this episode of Rule Breaker Investing , David Gardner chats with Motley Fool analysts Buck Hartzell and Robert Brokamp about dividend investing. Discover how dividends have behaved historically and their importance. Which one is better for shareholders: dividends or share buybacks? What s...
Barclays Bank PLC (“Barclays” or the “Issuer”) announced a temporary reduction of the minimum early redemption size of certain series of ETNs as specified in the table below (together, the “ETNs”). Currently holders of the ETNs are required to redeem...