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For US Treasury investors, the starting place for inflation today is tough-there's not enough inflation-adjusted yield to cushion the pain. Treasury inflation-protected securities and similar inflation-linked bonds globally will outperform comparable-maturity Treasury bonds if inflati...
10-year U.S. Treasury yield. Where is it headed? Will high-flying tech and momentum stocks fly high again? Is this a short-lived sector rotation from tech into value? For further details see: The Great Tech Rotation. Will High-Flying Tech Fly High Again?
The big question for investors at the moment is whether the 11-year old bull market is ending or is this just a “pause that refreshes?”. While the market could indeed bounce in the short-term, the decline in “money flows,” and the convergence of “sel...
While unnerving, the late-February surge in global bond yields was a game-changer for equity market leadership, with important implications for navigating the road ahead. The rebound in financials dates from last November when vaccine breakthroughs stoked hopes for the global economy ...
The view of our investment strategy team is that global markets are moving to the old normal. The medium-term outlook for economies and earnings is positive, and the global economy is in the early post-recession recovery phase. The expected outperformance of non-U.S. equities over...