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Summary Housing starts data notwithstanding, here’s why we think the US housing market deterioration will have a downside acceleration following what has been a surge in valuations. Spreads are widening while rates are rising. The results are simple. Housing may be in t...
Summary The MBS market saw its performance steadily decline in the days leading into the month-end Jackson Hole Fed summit, as Vols ticked up and widening ensued. The NYFRB MBS purchase operations schedule decreased from $12.8B for the month to $7.8B, roughly $390 million/per day....
Summary As we start the third week of September, with the US Fed’s much-telegraphed rate hike on Wednesday (+.75 with some 30% betting odds of a full percent!), markets are peaked. To date, Canada’s TSX -13% is just a quarter through the price correction experienced ...
Summary Stocks and bonds and commodities continued to trade and move around in price but there was no news to which those movements could be attributed. Most of what passes for news, the things people credit with moving markets on a day-to-day or week-to-week basis, is nothing mor...
Summary In “normal” times, bonds would be expected to thrive in a weakening economy. But this year, that old truism has been thrown out the window. The NASDAQ is taking its cue from the long bond yield. It’s down 23%, and the S&P 500 Growth index is tracki...
Summary The main economic data release for the trading week is the US inflation report. The UK economy is in a precarious position and facing a recession. Chinese President Xi is expected to meet with Russian President Putin at the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation summit in U...
Summary Despite a rough first half of 2022, bonds still have an important role to play in your portfolio, offering potential income, diversification, and capital preservation. After adjusting to the Fed’s rate hikes, short-term corporate bonds may now offer potentially high...
Summary The recent jitters in markets have been due to economic data being too strong. Fixed income markets are likely to settle down when central banks signal that financial conditions are sufficiently tight. The current uncertainty may turn out to be worse than the slowdown ...
Summary What's next for the bond market after Fed Powell's speech? Is the Fed pivot away for higher rates off the table? Outlook on inflation in Canada and the U.S. Stock markets tumbled following Fed Chainman Powell’s hawkish stance on rate rises. Gre...
Summary It is hard to determine sometimes what causes markets to move as they do. Take last Friday’s stock market selloff. The widely cited “reason” for the selloff was Jerome Powell’s speech at the Fed’s Jackson Hole Symposium. Of the major ...
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2024-06-12 19:30:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-01 03:20:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-12 04:52:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...