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Summary Geopolitical tensions, elevated market volatility, and the fastest pace of central bank tightening in decades are contributing to an unusually uncertain economic environment. In addition to higher income potential, yields are high enough to provide the potential for capita...
Summary YTD, the S&P 500 is now down 24% while bonds have their own double-digit losses. Like stock valuations, currency valuations aren’t great timing tools but over a 3-year period after becoming undervalued, the outperformance is strong. Consumer defensive stocks...
Summary 2022 has been the worst year for bonds since 1976. Bonds are an attractive place to be. Investors can look to allocate across fixed income depending on their individual risk appetite. What the markets are looking at now is the pressure on corporate profitability. ...
Summary The Federal Reserve has changed its angle of attack quite dramatically, in an attempt to battle surprisingly and stubbornly high inflation. The challenge will be to continue making progress on the inflation front without sending the labor market into a nosedive. The mo...
Summary Rising mortgage rates and a lack of affordability are prompting a steep drop-off in demand for housing. At the same time inventory for sale is on the rise. A combination of falling transactions and prices will intensify the recessionary forces the US economy is facing....
Summary Income investors seeking to boost yields often find themselves depending on higher-yielding investments such as bank loans, high-yield bonds and dividend-paying equities. The key to an efficient income portfolio is selecting the most impactful building blocks and assemblin...
Summary Stocks are now back down to the lows set in June and sentiment is as negative now as it was then. There is a long list of technical items that have hit levels or rates of change we associate with bottoms, short- or long-term. The economic data last week was mostly abou...
Summary As comments from heads of central banks go, yesterday’s press conference was relatively lucid. In the case of deciding when the bond market writ large bottoms and begins an extended rise, a fourth factor comes into play: investor sentiment. As yields rise and in...
Summary By mid-August, the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate was at 5%, down sharply from the 6%-range in mid-June. Yesterday, they were at 6.47%. Briefly dropping mortgage rates slowed down the decline in home sales - sales declined again in August from July but at a slower rat...
Summary Housing starts data notwithstanding, here’s why we think the US housing market deterioration will have a downside acceleration following what has been a surge in valuations. Spreads are widening while rates are rising. The results are simple. Housing may be in t...
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2024-06-12 19:30:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-01 03:20:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-12 04:52:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...