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2023-03-24 16:44:00 ET Summary Supply/demand outlook combined with relatively high yields are creating attractive opportunities for natural resource investors, but potential risks stemming from Russia still need to be watched. We really have to consider whether West is going into ...
2023-03-15 11:30:00 ET Summary All over the world, people are moving cash out of low-yielding bank accounts and into higher-yielding deposits. Shareholder equity and retained earnings (tier-one capital) are the primary funding source for banks. Losses in the sector manifest in...
2023-03-07 07:02:00 ET Summary Broad-based commodity cycles have typically had a major demand driver. In the 1970s, it was a weak U.S. dollar, and in the early 2000s it was Chinese growth. With potential growth in real GDP constrained by demographics, the focus is on supply constr...
Summary Tightening monetary policy, Europe’s energy crisis, and China’s COVID-19 lockdowns have contributed to risk aversion in the economy and markets. China’s early reopening from its COVID-19 lockdowns is already putting pressure on tight inventories. Destock...
Summary I think everyone can agree that stocks and bonds sold off last year because interest rates rose. Interest rates have certainly risen of late but they are still below the peaks of last year and almost unchanged since stocks made their low on October 12, 2022. One of the thing...
Summary Video by Jim Roemer about the weather's impact on commodities and why March may be cold and snowy. Stronger dollar hurts some commodities such as grains. What is a negative NAO index in meteorology. The strengthening U.S. dollar in the face of renewed inflation fea...
Summary For global equity investors, what’s important is to identify broad trajectories of growth and inflation rates, and then to forecast turning points, or changes in those trajectories. Olga Bitel, Global Equity Strategist, and Hugo Scott‐Gall, portfolio manager and co...
Summary Over the past year, banks have reported tighter lending standards on commercial loans to small, large, and middle-market firms. Large corporate bankruptcies have spiked the most since the 2008 financial crisis. Stock valuations typically tumble during recessions as the unemp...
Summary In 2023, both the demand and supply sides point to upward pressure across much of the set of commodity prices. The limits of lack of supply are visible in almost all segments, with stocks at operating levels in a critical situation and/or production capacity used to the limit. ...
Summary Three of the major investment themes of 2022 were: inflation and central bank responses; commodity and energy price spikes; and the China COVID lockdown. We discuss how each of these will likely play out in 2023. Our general market view for the year ahead is relatively sanguine,...
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Barclays Bank PLC (“Barclays” or the “Issuer”) announced a temporary reduction of the minimum early redemption size of certain series of ETNs as specified in the table below (together, the “ETNs”). Currently holders of the ETNs are required to redeem...
The softs sector offers opportunities through ETFs and Options, writes Paul Cretien . Soft futures, including cotton, sugar, coffee, cocoa and lumber, provide some of the strongest trends in the futures markets. They tend to be less liquid than financial futures and even the grain markets. ...