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2024-05-03 20:10:00 ET Summary With tech earnings out of the way, S&P 500 earnings continue to be healthy, robust in fact, although that’s been the case for a while. The forward 4-quarter estimate was revised higher again (sequentially) to $253.25 from last week's $252....
2024-05-03 19:20:00 ET Summary The S&P 500 ETF (SPY) gapped up 1% at the open this morning, so we wanted to provide a quick summary of how the ETF has typically traded on days when it gaps up 1%+. 1%+ gaps higher on a Friday have been the second most frequent of any weekday wi...
2024-05-03 07:40:00 ET Summary Following last year's strong close, first quarter returns for the capital markets were driven by hope and a measure of fear. The bond market did not fare as well, beginning first with the Fed urging caution about the timing and magnitude of rate cuts...
2024-05-02 09:25:00 ET Summary Both interest rates and Treasury yields ratcheted upward with pernicious inflation, prompting renewed discussion about equity risk premiums in a new environment with abundant opportunity for yield. Given the structural headwinds supporting declining ...
2024-05-02 08:10:00 ET Summary To understand if this is just a short-term dip or something more meaningful, we must look at the technical and fundamental backdrop that is moving sentiment. Semiconductors and their earnings announcements have been key with the wave of investment in...
2024-04-30 09:00:00 ET Summary The aim of the devaluation was to escape deflation which had persisted since (at least) the turn of the century. The Yen started to weaken in 2021 as the BOJ ramped up Yen printing again to help the economy recover from the COVID shock. Mortgage ...
2024-04-30 05:35:00 ET Summary The year began with six rate cuts expected by Fed funds futures markets and other derivative instruments. The 10-year Treasury yield went all the way up to 4.74% last week on the worse-than-expected inflation reports. If the 10-year Treasury yiel...
2024-04-26 20:00:00 ET Summary The forward 4-quarter estimate this week was $252.55, up from $252.51 last week. Assuming a close in the S&P 500 today around 5,100, the P/E ratio on the forward estimate is 20.2x. Assuming a 5,100 close, the S&P 500 earnings yield will f...
2024-04-26 10:05:00 ET Summary The Mag 7 has clearly had a terrific single year and a good cumulative three years. In order to outperform, a trader needs to be nimble enough to know when to switch from concentration to diversification and when to switch back. I personally favo...
2024-04-24 14:55:00 ET Summary Consumption continued to drive growth in the first quarter. We expect a continuation of broad growth, particularly in the United States. All in, we believe developed markets should continue to grow by 2%-plus on a sustainable basis. ... ...
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2024-03-23 19:14:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-02-21 13:12:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2023-12-16 00:50:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...