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Regardless of what happens with the economy and bonds over the rest of the year, we are nearing peak exuberance in stocks. Most people fear that a slowing economy will be the trigger for a stock market selloff, but that may be the wrong worry. Bear markets are generally associated wit...
This week was a Triple Witch Week in the markets. Triple Witches are the four days in the calendar year that feature the expiration of four different option indices. While the volume was and still is quite large on Triple Witches, the volatility is usually pretty subdued. The thing to...
This week's Sentiment Survey report by the American Association of Individual Investors showed bullish sentiment fell over 16 percentage points to 22.45% versus the prior week. This is the lowest bullishness reading since the end of July 2020 reading of 20.23%. For further detai...
Is September as bad for stocks as the media would have you believe? Is a significant correction imminent, and does the "September effect" make it more likely? The bifurcated market... the shoe may be moving to the other foot. For further details see: The Worst Month For ...
With year-end just several months away, money managers great and small are focused laser-like on year-end returns. But the environment is looking a little twitchier as Q4 approaches. Peak growth, sticky inflation, ongoing supply chain problems, high valuations and potentially disrupti...
The language being using to describe this market is "frustrating, but not fatal." The headline indexes have continued to grind higher, but this is a market that has been correcting, consolidating, and churning under the surface for most of the summer. The idea of an economic “g...
Interest rates are falling following the weaker CPI reading. Rates are likely to fall even further as the economy continues to slow. However, this time falling rates won't result in growth stocks rising. For further details see: Falling Rates Won't Save Growth Stocks Thi...
In addition to battery element shortages, the chip shortage has limited electric vehicle production. At the auto show in Munich last week, several auto executives commented on the chip shortage. Overall, the electrification of vehicles may be characterized by perpetual shortages for y...
As the economy continues to recover, market participants will concentrate on two critical areas: the employment picture and policy decisions made by the Federal Reserve. The jobs picture and Fed decisions could create volatility for commodities, stocks and bonds in the months ahead. ...
The current slowdown was telegraphed by the bond market, and we’re now in the midst of it. There are any number of reasons to think the economy will just keep fading all the way back to the pre-COVID trend of about 2%. I don’t see any reason to believe we are near recess...
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J.P. Morgan Asset Management Announces Liquidation of Two Exchange-Traded Funds PR Newswire Funds are expected to liquidate in Fall 2023 NEW YORK , Aug. 10, 2023 /PRNewswire/ -- J.P. Morgan Asset Management today announced the upcoming liquidation an...