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Preliminary PMI survey data showed economic growth slowing in the US and UK as strong pandemic rebounds showed signs of fading. In contrast, a reopening of economies in the eurozone and Japan helped drive improvements, helping to offset weakened manufacturing performances arising from...
We like emerging market (EM) local debt within an overall bond underweight. Much monetary tightening has been done, and valuations are compelling. U.S. Treasury yields hit new three-year highs last week, and equities fell. We still think stocks can weather the yield rise in the inflat...
The invasion of Ukraine is an inflationary shock to an already inflationary system. The International Energy Agency has warned that the impact on oil supply will peak only from May onwards. Since the war broke out, core government bonds have suffered sustained price declines unsee...
We prefer equities even as bond yields have sprinted higher. Global growth is still solid, and we see central banks ultimately living with inflation. U.S. 10-year yields hit new three-year highs last week, and stocks fell. The European Central Bank affirmed our view it will normalize ...
The war in Ukraine has led to disruptions in gas markets and global supply chains. Some of the services categories that are the most sensitive to wage inflation are also looking pretty hot right now. The Fed’s pivot toward higher interest rates to corral inflation makes for...
Strategies for navigating headwinds facing financial markets. Outlook for equities and fixed income. Why there's a strong case for Canadian equities. For further details see: A Strong Case For Canadian Equities This Year: TD Asset Management CIO
Due to the war in Ukraine and the resulting sanctions and embargoes - on top of the already interrupted supply chain, plus a new COVID outbreak in China - global trade is grinding down to a slow-motion “holding” action. As a result of these disruptions, PMIs all over the...
Last year’s headlines (COVID-19 and China) have been replaced with new concerns (Invasions and Inflation). Central bankers are pivoting from stabilizing growth to limiting inflation. Traditional bond and equity markets have come under pressure as they adjust to this new regime....
Russia’s President Vladimir Putin has fully miscalculated the West’s response to his invasion of Ukraine. The US Federal Reserve (Fed) looks to have underestimated the underlying price pressures that have accumulated in the US economy. The developing new world order ...
Business costs are now rising at a rate not seen since 2008. Input cost inflation accelerated worldwide in both manufacturing and services. COVID-19 containment measures have been almost completely removed in the UK and US, though many restrictions persist in the eurozone. F...
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2024-02-21 15:04:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-01-31 02:50:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...