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The stagflation scenario got a little more traction last week with the release of a negative Q1 GDP print on Thursday and hints of more inflation on Friday. April was a really rotten month with everything down but the general commodity indexes. Investing is mostly an exercise in s...
Gainers: CSI China Internet Idx Bull 2X Direxion (CWEB) +25%. S&P Biotech Bear 3X Direxion (LABD) +23%. Ultra Bloomberg Natural Gas ETF (BOIL) +21%. Trust Ultra VIX Short Term Futures ETF (UVXY) +19%. Microsectors -3X U.S. Big Banks ETN (BNKD) +17%. Losers: S&P Biotech Bull 3X Direxio...
Energy Information Administration Natural Gas Inventory: +40 bcf vs. +38 bcf consensus, +53 bcf last week. Futures (NG1:COM -2.27%) ETFs: UNG, BOIL, KOLD, UNL, UGAZF, DGAZ, FCG. For further details see: US natural gas inventory builds higher than expected
The Fed has little control over today’s goods inflation, driven by supply-chain, COVID stimulus, and war. Every time the Fed has increased rates to fight inflation historically, unemployment has increased. Recent events have put an even greater spotlight on energy independe...
As the war in Ukraine goes on way longer than Vladimir Putin appears to have anticipated, the Russian leader is getting increasingly aggressive. Moscow has cut off key gas supplies to Poland and Bulgaria, threatening to do the same for other "unfriendly nations" that refuse to pay for fuel in...
Lower 48 production needs to be above ~99 Bcf/d for the market to "loosen". That's not going to happen anytime soon. Demand is set to increase by ~4 Bcf/d this year, so more tightness is expected going forward. Natural gas prices are going higher, still. For further deta...
The euro has been weakening since last summer, and we are about to experience another episode of conflicting central bank policies, where the Fed will be tightening monetary policy while the ECB will be lagging the Fed. Europe already has had to deal with a horrific price spike in nat...
Only one major asset was up last week: REITs. There were some negative developments that might explain the selling. With the drop in commodities and fears about the impact of the China slowdown, the immediate effect should be for inflation and growth expectations to moderate. We didn&...
The invasion of Ukraine is an inflationary shock to an already inflationary system. The International Energy Agency has warned that the impact on oil supply will peak only from May onwards. Since the war broke out, core government bonds have suffered sustained price declines unsee...
Natural gas prices broke a 13-year trend line earlier this week only to come crashing down on an overbought market. La Niña is not weakening. What this may mean for late spring and early summer weather. Either the 1996 or 2008 La Niña analogs could still cause U.S. weath...
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2024-07-12 18:26:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-22 21:04:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-22 07:30:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...