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Does AI Raise Or Lower Neutral Rates?

Source: SeekingAlpha

2026-07-02 02:35:00 ET

A growing share of central bankers argue that artificial intelligence will ultimately push neutral interest rates higher. Intuitively, if AI boosts productivity and lifts long-run growth, then households have less incentive to save, pushing up the real neutral rate. This view has become increasingly embedded in policy discussions, with some observers pointing to the late 1990s when higher productivity growth coincided with rising estimates of the neutral rate....

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Does AI Raise Or Lower Neutral Rates?
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