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The most dramatic and immediate effect of the invasion and subsequent international sanctions is that local market Russian securities are effectively frozen. Emerging markets debt more broadly has traded well this year, in terms of spread, prior to the invasion. We believe the maj...
Emerging Markets are outperforming the rest of the world, due in large part to windfall profits in the commodities-exporting countries of South America and the Middle East. If you want to follow the money, this is a good place to start. Money has been flowing out of tech, consumer dis...
Over the last two centuries, at least 23 ships are recorded as having been sunk by icebergs, while many more have sustained damage. Over the years, while ships have grown larger, so have icebergs. The largest iceberg in the world, at about 80 times the size of Manhattan, broke off the...
As the world reels from the crisis, the blowback is rippling across the world economy and markets. The current risk premia analysis implicitly recommends managing expectations down for GMI and other global multi-asset-class portfolios. The mean reversion factor is estimated as the...
Russia-Ukraine crisis: What's Putin's next move? A full regime change in Ukraine may be tougher than Putin thinks. Bond market surprise: Why didn't long bonds react to Russian attack? For further details see: Russia-Ukraine Crisis: What's Putin's Next Move?
The peak of central bank tightening expectations has likely passed. Major economies will continue to experience positive growth. Biggest sectoral impacts will likely be in commodity markets. For further details see: Russia's Invasion: 3 Implications For Fixed Income
Investment-grade bonds, as measured by the Bloomberg U.S. Aggregate Index, experienced negative total returns in 2021. The market is already pricing in five rate hikes over the next 12 months. While investors are right to be watching the Federal Reserve, inflation and the future o...
Events have moved quickly since our update on February 22. It’s unclear whether this is the shock and awe phase of a limited incursion or the beginning of a full-scale invasion that seeks regime change in Kyiv. USD/RUB touched 90 overnight before fading back to the mid-80s ...
Investors who think they have no macro exposure quite often are just unaware of what macro risks they are running. One complaint I have seen multiple times that people were annoyed that macro analysts were opining on the topic, despite a lack of qualifications in international relatio...
Non-U.S. markets, including EM, DM, and Asia, are outperforming the U.S. markets after underperforming last year. After slightly underperforming growth last year, value is where the money is flowing. With the economy still in growth mode, cyclical stocks should do better than defe...
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2024-07-12 18:32:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-22 21:10:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-02 13:10:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...