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It appears the U.S. economy may be falling into recession - the business cycle has not been eliminated. Valuations outside the U.S. continue to look relatively attractive versus the U.S., especially in Japan. Credit spreads rallied over the past month or so and are once again in l...
We prefer investment grade credit over equities right now. Our reasoning: valuations, strong balance sheets, low supply and moderate refinancing risks. U.S. data last week showed strong job creation but still low labor participation. Stocks lost steam and bond yields spiked as markets...
Whether the U.S. is actually in a recession is debatable, but high inflation will affect companies both positively and negatively. The release of second-quarter Gross Domestic Product numbers late last month set off a debate around the state of the U.S. economy and whether it is curre...
Investment grade (IG) corporate debt funds broke their all-time calendar year records during their 2020 and 2021 campaign. While recent performance may be trending upward, year-to-date performance has been dismal. Credit spread increases, among other factors such as demand for Tre...
Given the weight of the evidence from the past decade of market performance, it makes sense that stocks should perform better if the Fed pivots from monetary tightening. The stock market continues to perform when the Fed is lifting interest rates. What is clear is that the time to...
In the housing market, activity levels have come down as rates - mortgage rates in particular - have moved higher and changed the dynamic around affordability. As rates have moved, investment-grade corporates are a longer-duration asset class that has really borne the brunt of higher ...
It's hard to ignore that global investment-grade corporate yields are currently the highest they've been since the global financial crisis. In addition to overall corporate well-being, business risk-taking is notably subdued. Balance sheets are healthy, free cash flow is expanding...
Now, most recently, the Russian war with Ukraine and its shock to energy and commodity markets, at a time when inflation was already running hot, has added greatly to investor concerns. While retirement planners and long-term liability managers often need to take on duration to hedge ...
We don’t expect the slowdown in economies to result in a deep global recession. A repeat of the big increases in bond yields we saw in the first half of the year is unlikely. In this environment, higher quality credit is more attractive. Despite increasing pressures on prof...
Inventories have risen recently and there has been a lot of commentary about how this will negatively impact the economy. My brief overview of markets is that large growth stocks are still overvalued even as they led the recent rally. The sentiment about the economy is still quite...
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2024-07-12 18:32:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-22 21:10:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-02 13:10:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...