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2023-03-15 22:25:00 ET Summary The failure of Silicon Valley Bank, along with Silvergate Bank and the Signature Bank of New York, has created what is possibly an inflection point in the bond markets. The effect on the fixed-income markets has been nothing short of astonishing. ...
2023-03-14 10:33:00 ET Summary With the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank, questions of potential “bank runs” spread among regional banks. While higher rates increase consumer borrowing costs, they also negatively impact bank capital. While the economy seems to be ...
2023-03-14 09:35:09 ET Summary The rapid rise in interest rates has been cheered on with little thought given to the consequences. The stress on a number of smaller US banks at the moment is the outcome of 13 years of loose monetary policy, followed by an extremely rapid tightenin...
2023-03-14 06:55:00 ET Summary SVB reverberations continue. In the US, the FRA/OIS spread is at a tipping point and needs to calm to help generate wider calm. US financial conditions have tightened considerably as a consequence of all of this. This does a job for the Fed, but ...
2023-03-14 06:20:00 ET Summary Recession indicators are concerning. Bank runs are particularly concerning. Certain companies may outperform in a recession. As negative economic and financial news piles up, there are increasing concerns about a potential upcoming rece...
2023-03-14 02:45:00 ET Summary We went from a complete re-pricing of further Fed rate hikes to a setting where safe-haven buying due to concerns surrounding the banking sector took center stage in Treasuries. Obviously, the headlines, and attendant money and bond market reactions,...
2023-03-13 21:01:00 ET Summary You step from the Fed and then you look around the world, there is this uncertainty associated with where we are, with this inflationary environment that every country is dealing with. Certainly from a longer perspective, given sort of the post-GFC w...
2023-03-13 20:55:00 ET Summary The Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank closures over the weekend are the second and third largest US bank failures in history. From last week’s 80% probability of a 50 bps hike on March 22, markets are now pricing a 44% probability of a pa...
2023-03-13 11:20:00 ET Summary Stocks are starting to reflect the economic damage from higher rates - and we see more hikes due to sticky inflation. But expected earnings still look rosy to us. U.S. stocks fell over 4% last week and erased most of their gains for the year, partly ...
2023-03-13 08:15:00 ET Summary A troika of the Fed, Treasury and regulators stepped in over the weekend to help calm nerves in the wake of the SVB collapse. We show that SVB is an outlier in many ways, but it is too early to call the all-clear on the sector; it's a risk from the a...
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2024-05-02 16:00:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-12 23:44:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-24 00:34:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...