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2023-05-13 07:40:00 ET Summary We don't rule out further problems arising in some of these smaller US banks but expect larger banks to be able to weather the storm. If a government shutdown and default look likely, the impact on financial markets, consumers and businesses would be...
2023-05-12 18:00:00 ET Summary The very system is threatened by the necessity of central banks to raise rates to the extent that both sides of - weaker - bank balance sheets are under pressure. Given all that, along with a threat to the quality of the US Treasury market, and there...
2023-05-11 00:26:00 ET Summary Now that the central bank signals an intention to keep policy tight for quite a while, most investors are quite happy to bet against it. US Treasuries have again rallied even in response to an April Consumer Price Index inflation report that shows he...
2023-05-10 18:15:00 ET Summary The debt ceiling, also known as the debt limit, is the total amount of money the U.S. government is allowed to borrow to meet its legal obligations. Prior debt ceiling episodes provide a good snapshot of what investors could potentially expect to see...
2023-05-10 16:06:00 ET Summary Why a potential recession hasn't arrived yet and may not be as bad as expected? The latest corporate earnings haven't been strong, but are outperforming. Why many of last year's headwinds haven't materialized for markets? The la...
2023-05-10 01:59:00 ET Summary I think that the Fed had to take the olive branch that the market was extending to it with fully pricing in this rate hike. The First Republic going into receivership and having the merger there - I think from that vantage point, it was a win-win-win...
2023-05-09 11:40:00 ET Summary The COT (Commitment of Traders) data, which is exceptionally important, is the sole source of the actual holdings of the 3 critical commodity-trading groups. Interestingly, the COT data also shows that Non-Commercial Traders are heavily net short the...
2023-05-09 05:40:00 ET Summary Headlines surrounding the abundant risks to the outlook dictate near-term direction, but we see a trend towards lower rates. The Senior Loan Officers Survey highlighted the squeeze on growth prospects. ECB hawks will face headwinds as US developm...
2023-05-09 02:10:00 ET Summary Central bank hiking cycles in the developed world are slowly but surely coming to an end, raising the question of whether they have pulled off a soft landing. On the face of it, the answer to this question is a resounding no. Interest rates in Europe...
2023-05-09 01:20:00 ET Summary The stocks were fairly stable on Monday but started to sell off on Tuesday on rumors about the health of other west coast banks. One of the big macro fears coming out of the banking crisis is the effect on commercial real estate. It is hard to sa...
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2024-05-02 16:00:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-12 23:44:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-24 00:34:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...