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2023-06-12 21:54:00 ET Summary Interest-rate volatility on shorter-duration assets is running near historical highs, even as rate changes begin to level off. Interest-rate volatility typically coincides with strong fixed income returns. However, elevated volatility can be a signal...
2023-06-12 13:11:00 ET Summary The 10-year Treasury yield was modestly higher last week but the trend – or lack thereof – hasn’t changed. We look at sentiment in a lot of ways and there is no doubt that it is quite bullish right now so a correction of some kin...
2023-06-12 12:20:00 ET Summary The S&P 500 is entering "extreme overbought" territory, with its earnings yield dropping towards 5%, a level that usually signals a need for a correction. Fundamentals and technicals are aligning to tell investors the S&P 500 is getting exten...
2023-06-12 10:40:00 ET Summary BlackRock investment leaders at our Outlook Forum agreed the new regime is playing out. They eye assets that price that in and benefit from structural trends. Developed market (DM) stocks ticked up last week, led by U.S. tech. Bond yields rose as mar...
2023-06-12 03:22:00 ET Summary Considering the March banking crisis, non-financial debt growth was tepid for the second straight quarter. With its AAA rating and attractive liquidity profile, GSE obligations are the perfect asset for money market funds. A spike in yields would...
2023-06-11 09:45:00 ET Summary The Fed’s anti-inflation fight has been helped by the fall in oil and energy pricing. We think most of the benefit of the oil price decline is behind us. Furthermore, the strategic outlook is for higher, not lower, oil prices. Though, we c...
2023-06-09 15:10:00 ET Summary The Federal Reserve is expected to leave policy rates unchanged on 14 June, despite recent market pricing shifts. Conflicting data and mixed messages in recent data releases suggest it may be prudent for the Fed to pause and evaluate. If rates ar...
2023-06-09 00:26:00 ET Summary US labor market shows signs of deterioration beneath the surface, with a divergence between the establishment and household surveys in the jobs report. Consumption may face headwinds from higher earners losing jobs, tightening lending standards, and ...
2023-06-08 15:50:00 ET Summary US macro data suggests rates should be around 6%, supporting the Fed's current position above 5%. The 10-year Treasury yield remains low, suggesting residual upward pressure on market rates. Despite some factors pointing to lower rates, further u...
2023-06-07 08:30:00 ET Summary The first few years of the 2020s have seen a number of acute economic, financial, and geopolitical disruptions on a worldwide scale, and it will take time for the ultimate consequences of these shocks to be fully felt. With the era of volatility-supp...
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2024-05-02 16:00:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-12 23:44:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-24 00:34:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...