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2023-07-17 09:40:00 ET Summary Bear markets feature not only substantial percentage losses but dramatic rebounds which exceed the percentage gains achieved during bull markets and also happen more quickly. Thus, it is necessary to keep switching from being net long, to net short, to n...
2023-07-16 05:30:00 ET Summary Obviously, AI has supercharged the indexes, for the S&P 500 and the NASDAQ. Small businesses tend to feel the impact of monetary tightening with a lag compared to larger companies. The Fed, although they haven’t come out and said it, t...
2023-07-14 21:43:00 ET Summary Can bonds provide the returns in the second half that were expected in the first? The case for staying the course for fixed income. Why that fixed income strategy may be facing a timing problem. Originally published on July 6,...
2023-07-14 11:00:00 ET Summary This week’s news on consumer inflation supports the case for expecting that the Fed's interest rate hikes are approaching the end game. Core inflation’s descent is still relatively sticky, which leaves more room for caution compared wit...
2023-07-11 10:46:00 ET Summary Stocks have traditionally tumbled when the price of the US 20-year Treasury bond rises, and the gap between stock and Treasury prices today is the largest we have seen in at least 20 years. We can never know when equity markets will recover cycle hig...
2023-07-11 06:35:00 ET Summary Since there is an outspoken minority of doves on the Fed, I think the July FOMC decision will rest on the June inflation reports, especially the Consumer Price Index (CPI). As CPI surged 1.2% in June 2022, I am expecting that its annual pace this mon...
2023-07-10 21:10:00 ET Summary At the beginning of this year, the consensus was that a recession was imminent (within 6 months) so stocks would perform poorly in the first half of the year; bonds were the better choice. The 10-year Treasury yield finally broke above the short-term...
2023-07-10 13:04:00 ET Summary The money management profession believes stocks and bonds have separate levels of risk of decline. The way this is expressed and managed is through a ratio of stocks and bonds, for example 60/40. The purpose of the ratios was to manage risk. Today, t...
2023-07-10 11:30:00 ET Summary Higher expected corporate earnings mask broad pressure under the surface. We see more earnings pain ahead and look for opportunities at the sector level. U.S. Treasury yields surged and stocks dipped last week. Data confirmed the U.S. labor market is...
2023-07-07 08:00:00 ET Summary Inflation is subsiding and this will open the door to looser Fed policy next year. The US economy has proven to be more resilient than we expected, but the threat of recession lingers on due to lagged effects of rate hikes and tighter lending conditi...
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2024-05-02 16:00:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-12 23:44:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-24 00:34:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...