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2023-08-10 01:45:00 ET Summary Recession? Soft Landing? Getting a read on where the US economy is headed hasn’t been easy. We believe that the supply and demand sides of the economy meet at the labor market. And it, though strong by historical standards, has started to soft...
2023-08-09 11:45:00 ET Summary Typically, the UST market takes its primary cues from the macro outlook, specifically the economic and inflation setting. One of the more notable deficit-related headlines was that Fitch Ratings agency downgraded the U.S. government’s lon...
2023-08-09 11:30:00 ET Summary The disinflationary trend continues, and core inflation appears to be in retreat across Western economies. Global central banks continued to raise interest rates, despite what looks to be clear disinflation evidence. Whether or not central banks ...
2023-08-09 06:35:00 ET Summary With the global economy slowing under the weight of central bank rate hikes, many income-seeking investors are shying away from high-yield corporate bonds. Prudent fiscal management isn’t the only reason the corporate universe is well-position...
2023-08-08 21:49:00 ET Summary The path for Fed policy through the end of the year is also expected to leave rates unchanged, based on futures. The 2-year/Fed funds spread remains negative and is trending down, a clear sign that the market is all-in on the peak rates outlook. ...
2023-08-08 06:44:00 ET Summary It looks like the overly anticipated intermediate-term stock market correction may have started right on schedule in the seasonally questionable August time period, when trading tends to be thin, and the market is easier to move one way or the other. ...
2023-08-08 04:02:00 ET Summary The bulk of investors are not currently active. August is normally a low-volume month, but it appears we are not in normal times. There appears to be less conviction as to where we are going. A reasonable bet is that the majority of opinions regardin...
2023-08-08 00:01:00 ET Summary The tough part to the CPI / PPI data the last 18 months, is that the “compares” for the CPI get tougher as we move through 2023, since CPI inflation peaked in June ’22. One of the problems with hyper-focus on any particular set o...
2023-08-07 18:55:00 ET Summary The stock market was down a little over 2% last week in what may be the start of a larger correction. In the 1970 recession, rates rose right until the onset of recession and hit a new high for that cycle during the recession. The employment repo...
2023-08-06 03:41:00 ET Summary The US economy continued to move forward in July, although some portions, especially manufacturing, are stumbling. While job growth remained solid in June, nonfarm payrolls rose by 209,000 for June, the smallest increase since the end of the Covid re...
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2024-05-02 16:00:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-12 23:44:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-24 00:34:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...