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2023-09-06 03:15:00 ET Summary We rationalise why US longer tenor rates are rising – basically, the curve is inverted and getting used to discounting structurally higher rates. If so, reversion to a normal curve must mean dis-inversion from the back end. When something ...
2023-09-05 13:55:00 ET Summary Why the Fed may have one more hike up its sleeve. U.S. economic resiliency continues to confuse market watchers. Why the bond market has been getting the outlook for rates wrong. From upcoming central bank meetings to key economic data,...
2023-09-05 11:30:00 ET Summary We up short-term sovereign bonds on attractive yields and downgrade credit in the long run. We stay cautious on long-term bonds even with the surge in yields. U.S. stocks recovered last week as 10-year yields slid from 16-year highs. Jobs data showed...
2023-09-05 09:05:00 ET Summary The 6-month U.S. Treasury bill is yielding just about exactly 5.5%, while the S&P 500 Index is yielding less than 1.6% - one of the greatest spreads ever recorded. The U.S. Treasury yield curve is at all-time record inversion, meaning that the sh...
2023-09-05 02:25:00 ET Summary The Bureau of Labor Statistics announced the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index (PCEPI) increased 0.2 percent in July. Averaging over the past five months, the PCEPI has grown at 2.16 percent annually. For three months and one month, the f...
2023-09-05 01:20:00 ET Summary The revision to Q2 GDP last week showed that real GDP rose by 2.1% annualized while the GDP deflator (a measure of inflation) rose 2% annualized. Personal consumption rose in July by 0.8%, outstripping the gain in personal income (+0.2%) and well in ...
2023-09-04 06:28:00 ET Summary U.S. GDP growth has beaten expectations and come in above its long-term trend. Prices rise in the dominant non-housing services parts of the CPI basket remain stubborn. U.S. job openings slumped to their lowest level in two-and-a-half years. ...
2023-09-01 21:52:00 ET Summary Historically, market internals have provided a fairly reliable gauge of where yields should be from a growth and inflation perspective. Bond bulls have been quick to highlight how bearish speculative positioning is towards the bond market, which is c...
2023-09-01 14:30:00 ET Summary Is the US labour market about to turn a corner? Why bond yields may keep rising. What the bond market is telling us about future rate hikes. The U.S. economy has surprised many with its resiliency, despite aggressive rate hikes by the F...
2023-09-01 00:50:00 ET Summary Shouldn't market rates be falling by now? No, not yet and we'll tell you why they remain under upward pressure. Most of it reflects US resilience; that's reflected in the market discount to where rates get cut in the future, and that discount remains...
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2024-05-02 16:00:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-12 23:44:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-24 00:34:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...