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2023-09-18 21:25:00 ET Summary The two major inflation indicators released last week were a bit “hotter” than expected, but that was mostly due to energy price increases. The other big news last week was that the UAW agreed to strike last Friday, which could push the...
2023-09-18 13:10:00 ET Summary We see the new regime playing out and a high interest rate world, with stagnant activity and persistent inflation. We shift our tactical views to reflect this outlook. European stocks rose last week after the likely last European Central Bank rate hi...
2023-09-18 03:00:00 ET Summary For retirees, high-dividend stocks can be an important source of income while also offering appreciation potential. Higher-yielding stocks have produced better returns than dividend growth and the broader market. Growth stocks do well and it is t...
2023-09-15 22:55:00 ET Summary Back in July I ran a post titled "No boom, no bust." Things haven't changed much since then: inflation has come back down to earth, and the economy continues to grow, albeit slowly. Stocks are up a bit, the Fed tightened once, credit spreads have tig...
2023-09-14 10:45:00 ET Summary US consumer inflation rises, but markets still expect the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged. The Treasury market predicts no change in policy at the upcoming FOMC meeting. Traders reflect near-certainty of no change in policy based...
2023-09-14 05:20:00 ET Summary A hike from the ECB today may have limited impact, as a total of 25bp of tightening is already fully priced before year-end. Raising rates today would probably be largely interpreted as pulling forward that final hike, but the appetite to price in mo...
2023-09-13 12:19:00 ET Summary At June 30th, 2023, the S&P 500 was priced to return 1.65%/year over the next ten years. Given the rally since then, that return has risen to 2.03%/year. Currently the 10-year Treasury yields 4.29% [bond-equivalent yield, add 0.09% to annualize]....
2023-09-13 02:45:00 ET Summary The 10-year Treasury yield has climbed steadily over the past two years. But we believe fixed-income investors should be prepared for lower yields ahead. Treasury yields have spent the past year in a state of flux - rising and falling on mixed econom...
2023-09-12 10:25:00 ET Summary Markets have been quick to react to individual data points without taking a step back to look at the bigger picture for the US, which is one of economic slowing and disinflation. The Bank of Canada erred on the side of caution and enacted another pau...
2023-09-11 17:38:00 ET Summary If an investor is to make tactical changes to their portfolio, it is in the extremes where they will find their greatest opportunities. What looks like an extreme today might be merely a way station on the path to something even more extreme. Con...
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2024-05-02 16:00:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-12 23:44:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-24 00:34:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...