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2023-10-06 07:45:00 ET Summary The US economy has performed strongly with the Federal Reserve and financial markets both re-evaluating the likely path for interest rates. But the Beyoncé and Taylor Swift stimulus has ended and households are facing more challenges. Sharpl...
2023-10-03 23:35:00 ET Summary After raising the federal funds rate target at its July meeting to 5.25–5.5%, the FOMC held rates constant at its September meeting. Incoming data in the form of inflation, stronger labor markets, and the Beige Book convinced the Committee, as...
2023-10-03 06:30:00 ET Summary The bear steepening of curves resumed after a US government shutdown was averted and accelerated after better data. Cut discounts are pared as central banks play it safe on inflation. In Europe, Italian spreads recovered amid a strong showing on ...
2023-10-03 00:19:00 ET Summary The change in muni yields followed the increases in Treasury yields during the quarter, with greater increases in the front end of the yield curve. The Federal Reserve raised the short-term fed funds band to 5.25–5.50% at its July meeting. ...
2023-10-02 11:40:00 ET Summary Markets are adjusting to the new, more volatile regime. We see opportunities in the UK and euro area bond repricing, and still prefer Japanese equities. U.S. stocks dipped last week, and 10-year Treasury yields fell sharply from the week’s hig...
2023-10-02 06:00:00 ET Summary Even if we have a recession soon, we don't have to have another bear market. Cash investments like T-bills are paying well right now but historically, today's rates are just a little above average. Both the 10-year Treasury yield and the dollar r...
2023-10-02 05:07:00 ET Summary Anytime during the trading day in the last few weeks, when the 10-year Treasury yield moved to multi-year highs, the dollar strengthened and stocks got wobbly. In early September ’23, the JOLTS report put a temporary bid under the Treasury mar...
2023-09-30 10:29:39 ET Summary The Treasury market is leading the equity market, with the long-term yield rising to its highest level in 16 years. The stock market is being influenced by the Treasury market, therefore, investors should pay more attention to bond market movements. ...
2023-09-29 21:20:00 ET Summary The Fed's favoured measure of inflation undershot expectations and has boosted the case for the Fed not hiking rates in the current quarter. Huge upward revisions to houshold savings suggests the consumer can remain more resilient than we thought lik...
2023-09-28 23:45:00 ET Summary There is still a "surplus" of M2 money, but it is shrinking every month. Higher interest rates have boosted the demand for money, in effect neutralizing the declining M2 surplus. Inflation is not driving interest rates higher - the Fed is. Real inter...
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2024-05-02 16:00:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-12 23:44:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-24 00:34:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...