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2023-12-16 07:10:00 ET Summary Speculative bubbles collapse when investor psychology shifts from speculation to risk-aversion. The uniformity of market internals is a key gauge of speculative psychology and market conditions. Current market internals remain divergent, indicati...
2023-12-16 03:00:00 ET Summary Fed Chair Jay Powell's recent pivot suggests that three rate cuts of 0.25 percent each are now the base case for the Fed's planning purposes. The unexpected pivot has led to a surge in investable assets and positive seasonal vibes in the market. ...
2023-12-16 00:40:00 ET Summary The Fed and markets agree that rate cuts are coming, but less so on exactly when. Rather than being time-dependent, the Fed will remain data-dependent, likely requiring the U.S. economy to show distinct signs of slowing before they can feel confident...
2023-12-15 10:30:00 ET Summary The Federal Reserve backtracked somewhat in its dot plot, which charts members' expectations for rates. There weren't a lot of changes to the announcement itself, but there was one key word added to a sentence. It sounds to me like higher rates a...
2023-12-15 05:30:00 ET Summary The FOMC began its December 12–13 meeting with some good news on both the labor front and on inflation. As for the labor market data, job creation is down somewhat from the previous year; but the market has been steady and moderate. GDP gr...
2023-12-15 03:30:00 ET Summary The inverted yield curve remains anomalous. The dollar’s weakness against emerging market currencies mostly reflected monetary policy differences. The bear case for high yield has been based on credit spreads. Structured credit valuati...
2023-12-15 00:02:00 ET Summary Inflation has declined over the last few months, following an uptick in August. FOMC members revised their projections of output growth, inflation, and the federal funds rate. With inflation falling faster than previously anticipated, FOMC member...
2023-12-14 22:50:00 ET Summary As expected, the US Fed did not hike yesterday and held its policy rate at a 22-year-high while signalling rate cuts to start in 2024. Optimism makes sense for government bonds, which become more valuable as rates fall and risk aversion rises. Ce...
2023-12-14 11:40:00 ET Summary When could the Fed start cutting rates next year. What key indicators to watch as the Fed considers its next move. Where is the US dollar going in the next little while. Transcript Anthony Okolie: As expected, the Fed he...
2023-12-14 06:30:00 ET Summary The surprise from the FOMC was partly the extra 25bp implied cut added to 2024, but it was more the lack of pushback from Chair Powell on the 2024 rate cut narrative. He almost endorsed it, which leads us to question whether he knows something of sig...
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2024-05-02 16:00:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-12 23:44:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-24 00:34:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...