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2024-01-08 22:35:00 ET Summary Many months ago it became abundantly clear that the Fed had extinguished the inflation fires that were stoked in 2020-21, and therefore lower interest rates were called for. More recently, we see that the economy has lost a lot of its forward momentu...
2024-01-08 21:34:00 ET Summary In the day-to-day, week-to-week movements of the markets, it is easy to forget that we are investing with a timeline measured in years, and for many investors, decades. Scientific advancements in recent years have been nothing short of amazing, but i...
2024-01-08 19:25:00 ET Summary The minutes of the FOMC December meeting were released on January 3, 2023, and were greeted by a slight market turndown. Markets had previously priced in the three rate cuts that the December SEPs (Summary of Economic Projections) suggested might be ...
2024-01-08 18:50:00 ET Summary No economist’s work is more germane to Issues 2024 than the brilliant Minsky. The hedge fund industry had surpassed $500 billion by 2001, up from about $35 billion to begin the nineties. Global markets wasted no time signaling 2024 liquidi...
2024-01-08 09:52:00 ET Summary The S&P 500 has backed away from its all-time (trading) high of 4,818, while the Nasdaq is off to its weakest start since January 2008. Any data point that helps Treasury yields rise a little after the torrid two-month rally from late October thr...
2024-01-05 11:20:00 ET Summary Headline numbers are strong from the December US jobs report, but not everything is rosy. Once again job growth is concentrated in just three sectors. Next week's inflation report will still have core inflation close to 4% so the Fed is under no ...
2024-01-04 21:40:00 ET Summary In 2023, the global economy defied widespread expectations of a recession and falling interest rates. The United States, Japan, and, to a lesser extent, Europe delivered significantly better growth than was expected at the turn of the year. The e...
2024-01-04 09:55:00 ET Summary Fed funds futures are currently pricing in high odds for no change in rates at this month’s FOMC meeting (Jan. 31), but a rate cut is seen as moderately likely in March and again in May. Support for anticipating cuts is also found in the polic...
2024-01-03 12:40:00 ET Summary We think 2023 stressed the value of adapting to a new volatile macro regime, and leveraging investment insight and structural forces to find opportunities. U.S. stocks surged in 2023, a reversal from their 2022 underperformance. Flip-flopping market ...
2024-01-03 10:08:00 ET Summary The calendar year 2023 proved to be an incredible roller-coaster for U.S. fixed income. Sentiment in the money and bond markets shifted dramatically and yield levels plummeted across the board, while MBS and corporate bond spreads narrowed considerab...
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2024-05-02 16:00:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-12 23:44:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-24 00:34:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...