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2024-01-31 20:44:00 ET Summary The Federal Reserve has left monetary policy unchanged and while it removed its tightening bias, it doesn’t seem to be in a hurry to cut interest rates. We still think May is the more likely start point for policy easing rather than March, eve...
2024-01-31 19:40:00 ET Summary Once again, the Fed did what was widely expected and kept the Fed Funds target unchanged at the January FOMC meeting. As a result, the trading range remains at 5.25%-5.50%, still at a more than 20-year high watermark. The money and bond markets h...
2024-01-31 18:20:00 ET Summary Employment costs are cooling broadly despite the tight jobs market. Cooling labour cost environment offers the Fed the room to cut interest rates meaningfully to neutral levels. Employment costs rose 0.9% quarter-on-quarter in 4Q versus 1.1% in 3...
2024-01-31 10:30:00 ET Summary The core Personal Consumption Expenditures price index fell to its lowest level since March 2021. Euro area business optimism about the coming year improved for a fourth consecutive month in January. Last week brought several announcements from r...
2024-01-31 02:00:00 ET Summary If the Fed does happen to break something and the economy grinds to a halt, it can respond very quickly. We believe growth of 2.5% is very doable in the 2020s. Healthcare companies are fast becoming data companies. In their first walk o...
2024-01-30 03:20:00 ET Summary In my opinion, the border and the US labor force are paramount political issues in 2024. The current longevity and depth of the yield curve inversion is not atypical of the inversions that have preceded all recessions in the post-war period. The ...
2024-01-29 17:35:00 ET Summary Nominal GDP expanded an annualized 4.8% quarter-to-quarter and 5.8% year-over-year. Real GDP grew by 3.3% quarter-to-quarter and 3.1% year-over-year. The price index for domestic purchases rose 1.9% versus 2.9% last quarter. Bond market volat...
2024-01-29 12:25:00 ET Summary We think stock momentum can run for now as inflation cools and the Federal Reserve readies to cut rates. So we up our overall U.S. stocks view to overweight. Tech stocks led the S&P 500 to consecutive record highs last week. Robust U.S. Q4 GDP gr...
2024-01-29 09:24:00 ET Summary The economy has gained a head of steam since the FOMC’s December 13th meeting. Additional stronger-than-expected data this week. Q4 GDP was reported at 3.3%, down from Q3’s blistering 4.9%, but significantly above the 2.0% consensus est...
2024-01-29 03:58:00 ET Summary It was a narrow stock market in 2023, in terms of annual returns, with the so-called “Mag 7” leading the way. It’s still an ordinary bull market for the Nasdaq 100, with more room to the upside. The credit markets today seem ...
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2024-05-02 16:00:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-12 23:44:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-24 00:34:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...