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2024-04-17 04:00:00 ET Summary The FOMC has been using a varied set of targets for monetary policy, but the relevance of these data points is questioned. The FOMC has shifted away from specific metrics and adopted a more ambiguous strategy, focusing on caution and confidence. ...
2024-04-16 05:20:00 ET Summary In the wake of last week’s hotter-than-expected consumer inflation data for March, the implied forecast via Fed funds futures indicates that interest rate cuts are unlikely in the months ahead. The policy-sensitive US 2-year Treasury yield has...
2024-04-16 02:35:00 ET Summary The repercussions of delayed rate cuts continued to shake out in the U.S. stock market in the past week. The S&P 500 (Index: SPX) dropped a little over 1.5% from where it ended the previous week to close at 5,123.41 on Friday, 12 April 2024. ...
2024-04-13 14:40:00 ET Summary The US is growing strongly; it’s adding jobs in significant numbers while inflation continues to run too hot for comfort. We will need to see a rapid change of fortune to trigger a rate cut in the next month or two. We still think a slowdo...
2024-04-12 23:44:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-12 20:50:00 ET Summary Stubbornly strong economic data has led to significant shifts in market expectations for when, and how quickly, the Federal Reserve will begin cutting policy rates. Our own forecast is now for the first rate reduction to come in September, but the co...
2024-04-12 06:25:00 ET Summary On a monthly basis, US headline and core Consumer Price Index topped expectations - both rising 0.4%. Although shelter inflation ticked marginally lower, the pace of disinflation remains painfully slow. While energy services have slowed since the...
2024-04-12 03:30:00 ET Summary Equity and junk debt markets have once more priced out any possibility of economic weakness. US and Canadian central banks have held base rates in the banking system above 5% - the tightest level in 17 years. Inflation and growth readings have se...
2024-04-11 09:56:08 ET Summary The Federal Reserve should raise their Fed funds target rate by 0.25% at their May 1 meeting. The Fed's 2% inflation target is considered optimal for economic growth and stability. Current interest rates are not historically high, and there is no...
2024-04-11 08:50:00 ET Summary Jeff Schulze, Head of Economic and Market Strategy at ClearBridge Investments, discusses the updated ClearBridge Recession Risk Dashboard, which has seen some progress underneath the surface despite not having any indicator changes. If you look at co...
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2024-05-02 16:00:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-12 23:44:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-24 00:34:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...