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The core rate of U.S. inflation on both the consumer and wholesale level has been steadily declining since March. In light of the Supreme Court’s recent decision to curb the EPA’s power, the SEC’s new climate disclosures are expected to be aggressively challenged ...
Our inflationary trajectory looks increasingly grim, and recession fears are mounting. Commentators worry the Fed will only be able to control surging prices by depressing output and employment. The trade-off is an illusion. If central bankers are doing their job, there is no relation...
U.S. rates: The dueling narratives. Is a recession coming? Will the Fed temper its commitment to push rates even higher? Central banks have been raising rates all year in an attempt to tame inflation. But with the fear of recession growing, will the Federal Reser...
The Committee will be faced with the challenge of assessing whether growth in the second quarter is likely to be negative, triggering the declaration of a recession, or whether growth has persisted. Goldman Sachs released its revised GDP forecast for Q2, cutting its estimate from 1.9%...
On June 10, the U.S. Consumer Price Index printed an alarming 8.6% and sent interest rate futures markets into a chaotic repricing of Federal Reserve expectations. Despite disagreements on the current causes of inflation, the Federal Reserve has made it clear that their goal is to red...
We see a new era of volatile inflation and growth sweeping aside a period of moderation. We downgrade equities and upgrade credit in this new regime. U.S. jobs data last Friday reinforced the supply shock causing persistent inflation. Yields resumed their rise as markets priced higher...
June saw us hit what I call the “growth concern phase” of this tightening cycle. As equities declined, credit spreads widened and global yields rose in the first half of the year, it was only a matter of time until conditions tightened enough to slow growth to the point ...
30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate averages 2.71% in the week ending Dec. 10, 2020, unchanged from the prior week and down from 3.73% at this time a year ago, according to the Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey."Mortgage rates remain at record lows, resisting their typical correlat...
30-year fixed rate mortgage averages 2.72% for the week ending Nov. 19, 2020, its lowest level in the Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey's history dating back to 1971.Compares with 2.84% in prior week and 3.66% at this time a year ago."Weaker consumer spending data, which accounts for...
Rate lock data suggest mortgage originations will easily exceed $4T this year, the highest level ever, according to Black Knight's latest Mortgage Monitor report.Through the first half of October, overall lock activity was up 4% M/M, with purchase locks up by 6% and refinance locks up 3% so f...
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First Trust Advisors L.P. ("FTA") announces the declaration of the monthly distributions for certain exchange-traded funds advised by FTA. The following dates apply to today's distribution declarations: *The Payable Date for First Trust Low Duration Opportunities ETF (LMBS) will...
First Trust Advisors L.P. ("FTA") announces the declaration of the monthly distributions for certain exchange-traded funds advised by FTA. The following dates apply to today's distribution declarations: FTA is a federally registered investment advisor and serves as the Funds' investm...