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Summary This year’s sharp rise in treasury yields creates an attractive opportunity in short-term bonds heading into 2023 as the Fed slows the pace of rate hikes. We favor transitioning from floating-rate notes to fixed-rate notes going into 2023 now that interest rates hav...
Summary Today’s markets are undoubtedly volatile, as investors face uncertain central bank policy and evolving market consensus outlooks for economic growth. We expect monetary policy to remain restrictive across major economies, despite slowing growth and rising recession ...
Supply chain disruptions that were the root cause of inflation in 2021 are slowly being resolved in spots. Should reshoring and the localization of supply chains follow, the cost could result in higher prices for the long term. As rate hiking cycles unfold, they are often met with...
We're seeing declining asset prices from bond to equities, and in some cases, real assets because of higher inflation. We are seeing early signs that inflation is starting to moderate. Equity market is currently pricing in the probability of a mild recession. For further det...
Yield-curve flattening and the credit sell-off have created value opportunities. Although off their wides, short duration corporate bonds still look compelling, in our view. We think the underperformance in financials is due to technical factors that should abate in the near term ...
If China were to continue to pursue a Zero Covid policy amidst rising case counts, supply chains originating in Asia could get shut down again. On the food front, wheat is particularly vulnerable to a prolonged conflict, which has been reflected in the performance of wheat futures. ...
Investors in short duration corporate bonds can capture 80% of the yield of the corporate Index while taking less than 25% of the interest rate risk. Generic two-year and three-year Treasury notes have risen 176 basis points year-to-date, compared to 127bps and 91bps, respectively, fo...
Interest rate volatility prompted another month of negative total returns. Below-average issuance was counterbalanced by a slowdown in demand. November could provide opportunities ahead of seasonal strength in December and January. For further details see: Muni Seasonal ...
Rising interest rates drove negative total returns. Supply and demand dynamics turned less seasonally favorable and acted as a headwind. More attractive valuations could provide near-term opportunity. For further details see: Munis Remained Tethered To Rates In September...
Modestly negative performance in August capped a robust summer seasonal period. Issuance exceeded expectations, resulting in less of a supply/demand imbalance than is typical. We maintain a defensive posture into the historically less favorable month of September. For furthe...
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2024-06-07 09:48:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-26 21:02:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-17 01:18:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...