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Commodity prices continue to fall dramatically, beginning the process of disinflation. Charts included. The Nasdaq Composite and NDX 100 indices have reached lows in the Percent of their Stocks above 200-day moving averages (DMA) congruent with previous market lows. Interest rates...
Accurately assessing sentiment is essential during times of high market volatility. Breadth Indicators are excellent measures of market sentiment. They can be paired effectively and traded successfully with Index ETFs. The percentage of stocks above their 20-day moving average are...
Numerous multi-decade extremes support a bearish conclusion for U.S. equities. The media has featured numerous articles about how there has been a rotation among equity sectors. The assumption which underlies almost all of these analyses is that we are in a bull market and that the se...
The Dow Jones Industrial Average was down nearly 1000 points at the low Monday and closed down 725, a loss of a little over 2%. The S&P 500 did a little better but closed down 1.5%. The markets rose through the rest of the week and ended on a high note. So, you got your chance to ...
It would be normal for markets to go sideways over the summer months, especially considering the fast spread of the Covid Delta variant, and more cases globally. Other obvious triggers for a consolidation would be a more aggressive signaling for a change in Fed policy, which is unlike...
It is impossible to avoid all risks. I attempt to identify as many risks as possible and manage these risks by addressing them. All assets have embedded risks, whether we can identify them or not. Should one invest in growth or value? In examining eleven time periods, the average grow...
Leveraged funds may be successfully included in portfolios managed with momentum strategies. Leveraged funds may generate great returns with moderate risk if used during market risk-on periods. We compare the performance of three portfolios, two with leveraged funds, the third wit...
Based on our macro regime framework, we expect the global recovery to continue, with emerging markets (EM) to expand and grow above trend and developed markets to follow soon after as they approach trend growth. We expect the global recovery to continue and anticipate a supportive env...
In this article I will walk you through the commonly used but wrong way to think about volatility decay. We'll then walk through an example of volatility decay with realistic numbers. Afterwards, we'll build a simple mathematical model to calculate volatility decay from first prin...
This Bespoke graph from the July 2, 2020, weekly Bespoke Report shows the SP 500 having its best 100-day return since 1933. The bull/bear debate requires a separate post, but this setup is actually a little bearish per the Bespoke data analysis, at least for the next week or so. The main r...
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2024-05-02 21:06:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-03 07:12:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-03 14:34:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...