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The strong economic and market trends of the first half of 2021 wavered during the third quarter. The coronavirus delta variant caught up with the US at the height of the summer, just as vaccinations slowed and concerns grew that inflation might flare and persist. Even so, equity mark...
According to the Federal Reserve, US Industrial Production declined by a large 1.3% in September 2021 from August – with August’s estimate being revised downward to -0.1% month-over-month. We’re led to focus on the narrow and immediate concerns with individual mon...
Investors have shifted focus from the immediate COVID-19 threat to the prospect of a cyclical slowdown and secular stagflation. Investors may also need to process a longer-term adjustment, because of the lasting impact of COVID-19’s shocks to both supply and demand. Markets...
Investors are still being challenged to reconcile high equity valuations with slowing growth, tighter monetary policy and upcoming fiscal drag. Global equities have retreated somewhat from peak levels recorded during since early September but the declines in most sectors have been mod...
Will there be a number of countries there who perhaps feel tempted to keep this unorthodox policy going further, or may even step further away from what we consider normal policy? I think adoption of electric cars, the rate of adoption, will really be driven by the rate of improvement...
As public debt rises to record levels, countries need to calibrate fiscal policies to their own unique circumstances. With the pandemic, global debt in 2020 jumped by 14 percent to a record high $226 trillion. This figure includes both public and nonfinancial private sector debt. ...
Market sentiment has deteriorated since earlier this year amid still elevated financial vulnerabilities and mounting concerns about risks to inflation. Amid the prolonged and painful pandemic, risks to global financial stability have remained contained - so far. To an unprecedente...
The global recovery continues but momentum has weakened, hobbled by the pandemic. Compared to our July forecast, the global growth projection for 2021 has been revised down marginally to 5.9 percent and is unchanged for 2022 at 4.9 percent. The dangerous divergence in economic pro...
The I.M.F.’s latest update estimates 2022 global economic growth will be 17% lower than in 2021. The Atlanta Fed GDPNow forecast began August above 6% and is now tracking at 1.3%. Only when valuations have collapsed back below long-term means and laboured there long enough ...
Global equities rose through most of the third quarter but gave up most of their gains in a volatile September. As the forces driving stock returns rapidly change in our COVID-scarred world, we believe active managers can help investors effectively navigate the recovery’s uncer...
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2024-02-05 19:18:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-01-25 19:12:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-01-04 11:18:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...