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Summary Following a dizzying rally during the Covid recovery, global housing markets have cooled recently as affordability has declined. In Sweden, the combination of mostly floating mortgages, uncomfortably high inflation, and a central bank behind the curve but determined to cat...
Summary With the latest index value of 38, the NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index is now nearly where it had been in May 2020 during the lockdown and below where it had been in February 2007, on the way down into Housing Bust 1. Traffic is a sign of interest among potential hom...
Summary With mortgage rates running higher unabated and mortgage demand decimated, homebuilder sentiment has continued to tank. As for the technical picture of homebuilder stocks, recent declines have been a bit healthier than the broader market. While homebuilder stocks have ...
Summary Stocks started the week waiting with bated (baited?) breath for the inflation reports of the week. It isn’t surprising that the market is focused firmly on the rearview mirror for clues about the future since Jerome Powell has made it plain that is his plan. Sto...
Summary Home prices and rents will decline in the next year, on average, though different parts of the country will experience somewhat differing paths. In the aggregate, housing prices will decline for both homeowners and tenants. Before getting too glum, though, homeowners s...
Summary Financial markets are highly liquid and far from breaking down. Since a strong economy is going to be tough to come by these days, high real rates confirm that money is very tight. The interest cost of our federal debt is less than 3% of GDP, and that's relatively low ...
Summary Are October rallies just bear traps in disguise? When will we see a turn in inflation? How to navigate bear markets. September was a brutal month for equities. Could markets strengthen this fall or are rallies just bear traps in disguise? Kim Parlee t...
Summary In recent months, the economy has shown remarkable resilience in the face of a cyclical downturn. As such, we remain in a situation where positive economic data (i.e. resilient Q3 corporate earnings) could be considered bearish as such an outcome will delay any hope of a dovis...
Summary With inflation having soared, the Fed has shifted in 2022 to withdrawing accommodation, raising rates, and shrinking its balance sheet. As for the U.S. real economy, rate hikes hit first through their direct impact on mortgage rates. Future housing construction is like...
Summary We maintain our intermediate-term bearish bias and think it makes sense to pursue short-term shorts, as well. Shorting stocks is a difficult and complicated proposition. Typical action would see oil back above $100 bbl pretty easily, with a run toward $120 certainly wi...
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2024-08-02 09:36:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-07-03 08:00:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
A look at the top 10 most actives in the United States Yield10 Bioscience Inc. (YTEN) rose 135.5% to $0.5722 on volume of 57,300,938 shares Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bear 3X Shares (SOXS) fell 8.7% to $3.16 on volume of 30,926,102 shares Kaival Brands Innovations Group Inc. (KAVL) rose...