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2023-09-04 04:57:00 ET Summary The Services PMI still matters given it’s over 50.0, and unit labor cost data will get a look, as will jobless claims, but the CPI data the following week of September 11th, ’23 is the next important inflation/economic metric. DocuSign,...
2023-09-04 04:30:00 ET Summary For the week, the S&P 500 was up 2.5%. We are now just 1.6% below the 2023 high-water mark, set on July 31. The market entered a Golden Cross configuration on February 2, 2023. A recession remains a distinct possibility, especially if the Fed...
2023-09-02 02:45:00 ET Summary The S&P 500 posted losses in each of the past three Septembers: minus 9.3 percent in 2022, minus 4.8 percent in 2021 and minus 3.9 percent in 2020. We think there are some good reasons to not fret too much about what the “average” S...
2023-09-02 01:55:00 ET Summary Elevated stock market valuations, coupled with higher bond yields, have driven the equity risk premium to near 20-year lows. The lofty valuations, while not contagious to the entire equity market, don’t seemingly reflect heightened recession r...
2023-09-02 00:10:00 ET Summary The Federal Reserve has a “dual mandate” designed to “foster economic conditions that achieve both stable prices and maximum sustainable employment.”. The “dual mandate” is obviously a moving target, but it a...
2023-08-29 03:09:00 ET Summary The S&P 500 rose after Powell's speech, ultimately ending the week at 4405.71, a 0.8% increase over the prior week's close. Powell's speech serves as a calibration point for setting the value of the multiplier in the dividend futures-based model....
2023-08-28 22:20:00 ET Summary The latest market shenanigans come from “zero-day options,” causing sharp sell-offs or short covering rallies. I am ecstatic with the results delivered by both Nvidia and Super Micro Computer, since they are both characterized by explos...
2023-08-28 20:25:00 ET Summary Many investors are wondering if the correction in the U.S. stock market is over. Simply put, we don’t know. From a historical perspective, September is the worst month of the year, even though in pre-election years it tends to be less bad. ...
2023-08-28 02:51:00 ET Summary The forward 4-quarter estimate for the S&P 500 jumped to $232.80 this week from last week’s $231.72. The S&P 500 earnings yield ended the week at 5.28%, versus the 5.30% last week. Since June 30 ’23, the Q2 ’23 bottom...
2023-08-24 06:20:00 ET Summary How many equity risk premiums are out there? The variety is at once a challenge and a tool. It’s a challenge because depending on your modeling preference, forecasting how the stock market will fare relative to some proxy of the "risk-free" ra...
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2024-01-14 19:28:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-01-04 11:22:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
Two Robot-Run Qraft ETFs Mark Their Two-Year Anniversary QRFT and AMOM, launched on 5/21/19, have both outperformed the S&P 500 since inception PR Newswire NEW YORK , May 21, 2021 /PRNewswire/ -- On 5/21/21, Qraft AI ETFs celebrated the two-year anni...