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As we enter the halfway point of 2019, we comment on market performance, commodity prices, fundamentals, surprises and our energy outlook for the remainder of the year. Trade Talks Weigh on Market Performance The stock prices of publicly-traded companies in the U.S. energy sector had a ...
Traders and investors who follow our work will be familiar with how we use technical analysis in our work. In the crude oil market for example, there always can be a host of fundamental reasons why the price of commodity will go up or go down. We do not try to play this game, though. What we i...
Introduction America's shale revolution has changed the balance of power in oil geo-politically from the Middle East to West Texas. OPEC appeared "toothless" as they met recently to extend their long running production cuts to shore up prices. The most recent meeting was held last week in ...
Welcome to the refusal edition of Oil Markets Daily! Note: This article was first published to HFI Research subscribers last Saturday. For more info, see here . The market remains skeptical of the bullish U.S. crude storage draws that's coming. That's why WTI remains below $60/bb...
The American Petroleum Institute reportedly shows a draw of 8.13M barrels of oil for the week ending July 5, following a 5M-barrel draw in the previous week. More news on: The United States Oil ETF, LP, iPath S&P Crude Oil Total Return Index ETN, VelocityShares 3X Long Crude ETN, Ene...
The biggest surprise of an otherwise predictable OPEC meeting on July 1 st and 2 nd came during the press conference of the second day, which included the non-OPEC “members”; i.e., Russia. Saudi Energy Minister Khalid Al-Falih, who usually dominates the press conferences, was m...
A maze of crude oil pipes and valves is pictured during a tour by the Department of Energy at the Strategic Petroleum Reserve in Freeport, Texas, U.S. June 9, 2016. (Reuters) Before the trade war, China was the largest oil importer of US shale oil, with almost 500,000 bpd last year that w...
The data for the charts below were taken from the EIA's Monthly Energy Review . It is crude plus condensate through March 2019 and is in thousand barrels per day. World C+C was down 281,000 barrels per day in March. Non-OPEC was up 218,000 barrels per day in March. World less the USA pe...
Investment Thesis The extension of the OPEC+ deal is more positive for the oil market than it seems. And that is why this is a weighty reason for buying the iPath's S&P Crude Oil Total Return Index ( OIL ). Instrument The S&P GSCI ® Crude Oil Total Return Index reflects the...
Welcome to the doubling up edition of Oil Markets Daily! At the start of 2019, we started an oil trading portfolio. All of our trades have been on the long side for now given our storage projections (yes, we are still perfecting it after 1 1/2 years). We missed badly on the bearish build...
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